• Theta price last reached five standard deviations above the mean last week.
  • Historical precedent projects a decline of at least 45%.
  • 10-week simple moving average (SMA) has stabilized price declines in the past.

Theta price engineered a remarkable advance of 44,160% from the March 2020 low to the March high. What makes it even more impressive is that the price has found constant support at or around the 10-week SMA since April 2020. Additionally, THETA traded five standard deviations (StdDEV) above the mean (40-week SMA) in March, putting traders on alert that a correction was near.

Theta price climbed 290% in March

Measuring the distance from the price to a moving average is a valuable tool to identify periods of extreme deviation that the naked eye can’t always pick up. In the case of THETA, the digital token has exceeded five standard deviations from the 40-week SMA just four weeks since the March 2020 low, including last week.

In May 2020, THETA reached more than five standard deviations above the mean for two straight weeks. The other time this occurred was in December 2020. In May, the altcoin crashed 65% but did find support at the 10-week SMA. Later in December, THETA dropped almost 45% but bottomed above the 10-week SMA. 

Based on the previous percentages and averaging out the two to equal 55%, THETA could fall to $7.06, basically a decline of 40% from price at the time of writing.  A test of the 10-week SMA would be an almost 50% decline from the current price and 60% from the March high.

THETA/USD weekly chart

THETA/USD weekly chart

At the very least, THETA has entered a consolidation phase with the potential to extend into a notable decline. The short-term upside is limited and likely to be defined by quick intraday spikes.


Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Chances of pullback increase as miner selling ramps up

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Chances of pullback increase as miner selling ramps up

Bitcoin (BTC) price extends its decline for a second consecutive day on Wednesday, trading slightly down at around $87,600 after a 30% surge since November 5 pushed BTC to a new all-time high at $89,940.

More Bitcoin News
Crypto fraudster pleads guilty of taking part in $73 million laundering scheme

Crypto fraudster pleads guilty of taking part in $73 million laundering scheme

Daren Li, a Chinese citizen, pleaded guilty to conspiracy to help launder $73 million stolen in cryptocurrency scams. Li laundered funds using a network of shell companies and international bank accounts.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Cardano bulls show signs of exhaustion

Cardano bulls show signs of exhaustion

Cardano’s price is falling on Tuesday as it faces rejection around $0.624 and traders engaged in profit-taking following the recent rally. Technical indicators show signs of weakness in upward momentum as the RSI exits from the overbought territory.

More Cardano News
Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: BTC, ETH and XRP could face pullbacks

Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: BTC, ETH and XRP could face pullbacks

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trade in the red on Tuesday following strong rallies since last week, driven by crypto-friendly candidate Donald Trump's election victory. 

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin: Further upside likely after hitting new all-time high

Bitcoin: Further upside likely after hitting new all-time high

Bitcoin hit a fresh high of $76,849 on Thursday as crypto-friendly candidate Donald Trump won the US presidential election. Institutional demand returned with the highest single-day inflow on Thursday since the ETFs’ launch in January.

Read full analysis
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP