- Dogecoin price is edging closer to breaching the $0.181 resistance level, hinting at a breakout rally.
- Transaction count, large transactions, and age consumed indicators hint at a potential shift in momentum favoring bulls.
- The MVRV ratio indicates that the short-term outlook is bullish as well.
Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price outlook has been extremely bullish over the past few weeks due to its ascent. As DOGE knocks on a key hurdle, more gains are likely to arrive for the meme coin, several on-chain metrics suggest. On-chain analysis is used to double-check the feasibility of a potential rally for the original dog-based meme coin.
Also read: Can Shib, Doge, Floki and Book of Meme kick-start a rally after Avalanche's meme coin program?
Four Dogecoin on-chain metrics hint at bullish outlook
The four on-chain indicators examined are:
- Transaction Count.
- Age Consumed.
- Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio.
- Large Transactions.
According to data from Santiment, the spike in Transaction Count suggests that DOGE investors are more active than usual, which means there is demand for the meme coin. This metric spiked from 1.22 billion to 9.20 billion DOGE transactions in a span of 48 hours.
DOGE Transaction Count
Likewise, the Age Consumed indicator also posted a massive uptick during the aforementioned period. Elevated levels of token age hint that a significant amount of previously dormant coins are on the move once again and often point to short-term behavioral shifts among market stakeholders.
Coupled with the Transaction Count metric, the recent increase of the Age Consumed metric is a sign of local bottom formation. The previous spikes in November 2023 and January 2024 have both led to massive uptrends in Dogecoin price.
DOGE Age Consumed
Meanwhile, the 7-day and 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios are hovering around 6.62% and 14.38%, respectively, indicating that the unrealized profits are very low. This index is used to calculate investors' average profit/loss for a specific time frame.
A higher MVRV ratio reveals that most holders are sitting on unrealized profits and is considered bearish, as these holders could sell their stack and kick-start a correction. Likewise, a large negative-valued MVRV is theoretically bullish and could signal it is the right moment to accumulate a token.
DOGE 7-day and 30-day MVRV ratio
Based on IntoTheBlock data, the Large Transaction metric is on the rise, showing that whales are interested in the meme coin as well. This indicator acts as a proxy for the number of whales’ and institutional players’ transactions and could indicate their buying behavior.
Based on the other metrics, the spike in Large Transactions is a bullish indicator and hints at a potential rally for Dogecoin price.
DOGE Large Transaction
On a separate note, technicals suggest DOGE is close to breaching the $0.181 weekly resistance level. If the meme coin bulls are successful, it could kickstart a 52% upswing to the next key hurdle at $0.279. Beyond this level, momentum could easily propel DOGE higher or at least keep the meme coin stable.
DOGE/USDT 1-week chart
All in all, the Dogecoin price looks primed for a quick rally from both an on-chain and technical perspective.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch
Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction
Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs
The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy
Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.