|

Tezos price sinking in quicksand as technicals project a further 30% decline

  • Tezos price triggered a double top pattern on April 18.
  • Topside trendline factoring into the price action, similar to the February highs.
  • Smartlink launches decentralized escrow and marketplace on Tezos.

Tezos price is temporarily supported by the confluence of key support levels on the daily chart. Still, the digital token has failed to inspire buying commitment after triggering the double top. If the support breaks, XTZ is staring at an additional decline of nearly 30%.

Tezos price rallied in March thanks to “hopium” in decentralized finance

On April 18 and with heavy volume, XTZ crashed 25% from high to low, activating a double top pattern at $6.09 and before discovering support at the intersection of the topside trendline and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the rally beginning in late December 2020. The altcoin has since declined to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) before rebounding in the support range.

Due to the sharpness of the decline, it is expected that XTZ will oscillate further in the range framed by the critical levels mentioned above, and it may even bounce to retest the double bottom level. Still, the combination of technical indicators points to lower prices.

Tezos price will be supported by the 50-day SMA for a short period of time before collapsing to the 50% retracement at $4.64, which frames another support range with the March 9, March 18, and March 20 highs.

Additional support will emerge at the 100-day SMA at $4.25 and then the eventual thesis forecast, the 61.8% retracement at $3.92, returning a loss of nearly 30% from the current price.

XTZ/USD daily chart

XTZ/USD daily chart

On the other side of the fence, a daily close above the double top trigger price of $6.09 would open the door for a test of the all-time high at $7.67 and potentially higher if there some buying emotion.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.