- Solana price flashes potential bear trap after breaking down from a multi-week rising wedge pattern.
- SOL may close today with a bullish engulfing 12-hour bar.
- 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the May correction offering active resistance since June 4.
Solana price has been climbing higher, illustrating a rising wedge pattern that broke to the downside today as the cryptocurrency complex turned red. SOL has quickly recovered and is at the top of the leader board with a 9% gain, suggesting it is readying to continue the quest to the all-time high.
Solana price cheats bearish market dynamics
Over five days, Solana price collapsed over 67%, locating a firm low on May 23. It recorded the largest weekly decline at almost 48% and the largest correction for the tremendous rally since December 2020. By yesterday’s high, SOL had rebounded by 130% and was placed around the tactically important 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $39.54.
The persistent SOL rebound broke with the pattern displayed by other cryptocurrencies, most often highlighted by sharp one-day bounces but within the limits of an ascending or symmetrical triangle.
Solana price illuminated a rising wedge pattern that was nearing the apex during the steadfast rise as of yesterday. Today’s break below the wedge’s lower trend line triggered investors to fold their positions and capture profits. However, SOL has strongly rebounded and recovered the wedge’s lower trend line and the 50-day SMA, provoking a potential bear trap. It is an example of when daily closes can be tactically advantageous.
In general, a rising wedge is a bearish pattern that begins wide at the bottom and slowly contracts as the price moves higher. It can be a continuation pattern or a reversal pattern and is underlined by weakening volume.
If today’s rebound holds, it raises the probability that Solana price will resume the uptrend as more weak holders have now been flushed from the SOL investor base. The 61.8% retracement level at $43.00 and the 78.6% retracement level at $49.50 block the path to the all-time high at $58.39.
Additional targets will be more apparent once Solana price has reached the all-time high.
SOL/USD daily chart
A daily close below the 50-day SMA and the wedge’s lower trendline will re-introduce a bearish bias. Solana price support layers are the 38.2% retracement of the rally off the May low at $34.62, followed by the 50% retracement at $31.66 and lastly, the 61.8% retracement at $28.69.
Any SOL weakness beyond the May 30 low at $25.62 would provoke a new interpretation of the price structure and raise the probability that the May collapse was the first leg of a more significant corrective process.
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch
Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction
Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs
The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy
Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.