- Solana price falls just short of the 141.4% Fibonacci extension of the May collapse during the intra-day scramble higher.
- SOL has climbed 47.04% over the last three days based on closing prices, marking the best three-day gain since the end of February.
- SOL mentions on social media channels reached over 20% of the total cryptocurrency traffic on August 16.
Solana price has climbed 170% since July 21, breaking through the symmetrical triangle’s measured move of 69% and the previous all-time high of $61.44 before coming within two points of the 141.4% extension at $79.00 today. However, SOL is set to consolidate based on the extreme readings on several indicators and today’s rapid retracement. The May 18 high of $61.44 should offer some support during the corrective process.
Solana price strikes a buying frenzy
The market-leading performance for Solana price has its origins in a symmetrical triangle that developed from the May crash and triggered on July 30 with a daily close above the triangle’s descending trend line. The velocity and magnitude of the resulting advance carried the daily Relative Strength Index to the highest reading since April 2020 and SOL's deviation from the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) to 61.25%, based on the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO).
The notable readings on a series of indicators indicate that Solana price will now pursue a correction or consolidation. For example, similar RSI readings in the past, including February 24, February 12 and August 12, 2020, coincided with short-term peaks for SOL, with the three consolidations averaging 34.93% and six days. Moreover, the last time the deviation from the 20-day SMA reached at least 50%, Solana price trended sideways for several weeks.
If Solana price topped today at $77.26, a 34.93% pullback would take the altcoin down to $50.22, slightly above the 50% retracement of the advance from the July 20 low at $49.61, and the SOL low should be printed around Monday.
SOL/USD daily chart
Solana price could ignore the stretched indicators and the bearish momentum divergence on the intra-day charts and continue the SOL surge. Points of reference are the 141.4% extension at $79.00, the 161.8% extension at $87.66 and the psychologically important $100.00.
A reflection of Solana price momentum is the dominance of SOL in cryptocurrency social media over the last couple of days. At one point yesterday, SOL accounted for over 20% of the total cryptocurrency traffic. A rare reading for any digital token, but not the highest percentage of SOL mentions in 2021. Nevertheless, it shows that the advance in Solana price had gone viral, FOMO had arrived, and a temporary high was in sight.
SOL social dominance - Santiment
The conditions for Solana price are highly fluid at the moment, with the potential for a sharp move in either direction being a strong possibility. However, the stretched indicators and the heavy social media traffic suggest that the audacious advance has ended, at least temporarily. Furthermore, historical precedent instructs SOL speculators to be aware of the potential for a 40% decline from the intra-day high.
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch
Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction
Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs
The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy
Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.