|

Six on-chain metrics suggesting Bitcoin is a 'generational buying opportunity'

Several on-chain metrics from the Bitcoin (BTC $22,736) network are flashing buy signals following this year’s rally.

Bitcoin has broken out of its torpor to notch up a 37% gain since the beginning of 2023. However, on-chain data is still signaling it could be a “generational buying opportunity,” according to analysts.

On Jan. 24, researcher and technical analyst “Game of Trades” identified six on-chain metrics for his 71,000 Twitter followers.

The first metric is an accumulation trend score highlighting zones of heavy accumulation in terms of entity size and the number of coins bought.

“Large entities have been in deep accumulation mode ever since the FTX collapse,” the analyst noted, adding that “similar accumulation took place in the 2018 and 2020 bottoms.”

The Bitcoin entity-adjusted dormancy flow is a measure of the ratio of the current market capitalization and the annualized dormancy value.

Whenever dormancy value overtakes market capitalization, the market can be considered in full capitulation which has been a good historical buying zone.

According to Glassnode, this metric fell to its lowest level ever in 2022.

Bitcoin

BTC entity- adjusted dormancy flow. Image: Glassnode

Bitcoin’s reserve risk can be used to measure the confidence of long-term holders relative to the price of BTC. This also fell to its lowest-ever level at the end of 2022, according to Glassnode data.

Bitcoin’s Realized Price (RP) is the value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved — in other words, an estimation of what the entire market paid for their coins.

According to Woo Charts, Bitcoin has been trading below this level since FTX’s collapse in November until Jan. 13. It is currently just above the RP, which represents another buying opportunity.

The Bitcoin MVRV Z-score shows when BTC is significantly over or undervalued relative to its “fair value” or realized price. When the metric leaves the extremely undervalued zone it is often considered the end of the bear market.

Bitcoin

BTC’s MVRV Z-Score. Image: Glassnode

Finally, there is the Puell Multiple examining the fundamentals of mining profitability and its impact on market cycles.

Lower values, as they are at the moment, indicate miner stress and represent long-term buying opportunities.

The analyst concluded these six on-chain metrics are “pointing towards an exceptional risk-reward setup in Bitcoin.”

The metrics are all at similar levels to market cycle bottoms in 2015, 2018, and 2020, they added.

At time of publication, BTC was trading down over 1.9% over the past 24 hours at $22,675, according to Cointelegraph data.

Author

Cointelegraph Team

Cointelegraph Team

Cointelegraph

We are privileged enough to work with the best and brightest in Bitcoin.

More from Cointelegraph Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.