- Polkadot price is up 8% after obtaining bullish momentum at $5.37, but the uptick seems unsustainable.
- Overhead pressure from the 100-day EMA at $6.09 could dissuade the rally.
- The bearish contention will be invalidated if the altcoin records a decisive daily candlestick close above the $6.127 resistance level.
Polkadot (DOT) price obtained bullish momentum on March 12 right in the middle of a joint statement from the US Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve Bank, and the FDIC that all Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) depositors will be reimbursed. However, the altcoin has been unable to make a decisive move upwards as it was facing a lot of upward rejection. This could see the token lose all the ground covered over the weekend.
Polkadot price current rally could be premature
Polkadot price exploded 9.6% on Sunday, March 12, reaching a high of $5.903 as bulls took the lead. Trading activity for the token is up almost 42% in the last 24 hours to $326.6 million. However, despite increased activity for the altcoin, DOT has been unable to go past the Sunday high due to a lack of sufficient catalyst to fuel the rally.
At the time of writing, Polkadot price is $5.888, as the token confronts immediate resistance due to the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $6.094. Given the lack of significant stimulus, investors are not very optimistic about the rally, and overhead pressure around the said barrier could send DOT downward.
Accordingly, the Polkadot price could drop below the supplier congestion zone at the $5.800 support level. Below, the price could nosedive to tag the $5.372 support level next, or worse, to the $5.015 level.
In extreme cases, the Polkadot price could descend to the $4.478 swing low or tag the $4.290 support floor before another resolute move northward. Such a move would denote a 27.16% drop from current levels.
DOT/USDT 1-day chart
On the downside, if buying pressure increases, Polkadot price could soar past the 100-day EMA barricade at $6.094 before confronting the $6.127 resistance level. A decisive flip of this hurdle into support will invalidate the bearish thesis.
Upward, Polkadot price would have to break past the 50-day EMA at $6.153 before targeting the next roadblock at the $6.704 resistance level.
An attempt to tag the 200-day EMA at $6.924 would be an extremely ambitious case and highly unlikely for the moment, given the general bearish sentiment. Such a move would constitute a 17.71% increase from current levels.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch
Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction
Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs
The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy
Bitcoin price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot ETFs in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.