|

Polkadot bounces after sell-off, but DOT upside potential limited to $46

  • Polkadot price drops as much as 15% during the Tuesday trading session. 
  • Over 50% of the drop has been recovered, but whether the bounce is a fake-out remains to be seen. 
  • Upside potential may be limited in the interim. 
Polkadot price, like the rest of the cryptocurrency market, experienced a big dive lower. Despite a 10% bounce from the day’s low, Polkadot’s close is still below the daily open.
 

Polkadot price faces uncertain trend direction; traders digest recent sell-off

 
Polkadot price finds itself in a position it hasn’t been in since late September. It is currently between a combination of resistance with the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen at the $46 value area and an area of support at the top of the Ichimoku Cloud at $38. 
 
Upside potential is likely limited to the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen. If Polkadot price does return to test those levels as resistance, traders will want to observe any breakout that would return Polkadot to a close above the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen. A bullish continuation move would likely occur of bulls rally Polkadot to a close above $48.
 
While Polkadot price did find responsive buying against the top of the Cloud (Senkou Span A) at $38, there remains one more primary support level thatbulls  may want to test. The $35.50 value area contains two of the most potent support levels on Polkadot’s chart: the 2021 Volume Point Of Control and Senkou Span B. 
 
The oscillators show some oversold conditions are present. The Optex Bands have an almost vertical slope and are pushing deep into the oversold range. In addition, the Composite Index is at historical support levels, and the Relative Strength Index is at the final oversold support level at 40. 
DOT/USDT Weekly Ichimoku Chart
 
Bulls will want to watch for any strong close at or above $48, while bears will want to watch for a close Senkou Span B at $37. 

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.