|

LUNA price could collapse more than 40% if bulls fail to support

  • LUNA price is struggling to maintain a clear support zone. 
  • Sell-off in crypto has wiped out nearly all gains made after yesterday’s post-Fed announcement.
  • Some support has entered during the intraday session to prevent a major collapse. 

LUNA price is up against the same renewed selling pressure of risk-on assets around the globe. But there is some strong signs of bulls stepping up to prevent LUNA from dipping further. 

LUNA price action shows bulls attempting to prevent a major collapse

LUNA price made another push down to a price level identified yesterday (May 4), the neckline of a head-and-shoulders pattern. Bulls, however, have defended against a drop below the neckline. In fact, LUNA has more evidence of clear and active buying to protect against collapse than any other major market cap cryptocurrency. 

The final support level for LUNA price remains at the $77 price level. $77 is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the all-time high to the low of the February 24 weekly strong bar. $77 is also the final large area within the current high volume node of the 2022 Volume Profile

A close at or below $77 would confirm an Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout because the Chikou Span would be in open space - a condition where the Chikou Span won’t intercept the body of any candlesticks in the next five to ten periods. 

The last time LUNA price saw an Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout was on January 29, 2022 - but prices stabilized. That drop preceded the 155% rally from the $46 to the new all-time high of $119.50. 

LUNA/USDT Daily Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart

If bulls want to stave off any further selling pressure or bearish bias, they’ll need to return LUNA price to a close inside the Cloud and above the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen - approximately the $88 value area. Then, to create a renewed uptrend, bulls will need to push even higher to close at or above $100.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.

Stellar relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Cardano price steadies at $0.29 on Thursday after surging over 14% in the previous day. Improving on-chain and derivatives data support a positive outlook as whale wallets are increasing exposure alongside positive funding rates.

Top Crypto Gainers: Polkadot, Near Protocol, Uniswap lead market rebound

Altcoins, such as Polkadot, Near Protoco, and Uniswap, are leading gains over the last 24 hours as Bitcoin jumped 6% on Wednesday. The altcoins are holding steady on Thursday following a rebound the previous day, testing the waters around their 50-day EMA. 

Cardano steadies as whales accumulate and bullish sentiment grows

Cardano price steadies at $0.29 on Thursday after surging over 14% in the previous day. Improving on-chain and derivatives data support a positive outlook as whale wallets are increasing exposure alongside positive funding rates.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.