• Terraform Labs’ “Terra Ecosystem Revival Plan 2” met with a bearish response, LUNA price plunged 18.9%. 
  • The hard fork proposed by Do Kwon would create two versions of the token, LUNA Classic and LUNA Core – the original one. 
  • LUNC holders will receive LUNA tokens, in a fork inspired by Ethereum’s 2016 DAO hack.
  • Leading crypto analysts divided on Terra’s LUNA recovery prospects. 

Terraform Labs’ move to revive native token LUNA without stablecoin UST is similar to Ethereum’s hard fork of 2016. The algorithmic stablecoin UST will cease to exist once the revival plan is implemented since Terraform Labs CEO Do Kwon believes LUNA is more than TerraUSD. 

Also read: Can Ethereum price hold as Vitalik Buterin sells 30,000 ETH?

Terra’s LUNA could recover from crash with proposed hard fork

In an attempt to promote LUNA’s recovery and to compensate token holders, the co-creator of Terra, Do Kwon, put forward “Terra Ecosystem Revival Plan 2.” Still, LUNA continued to shed its value, with the 24-hour trading volume exceeding $2 billion. The Terraform Labs CEO explained the logic behind the new proposal to fork LUNA. The Terra ecosystem and its hundreds of developers, large number of holders and strong brand name will be preserved through the implementation of the proposal.  

Terra fork to set two parallel blockchains: LUNA Classic and LUNA Core

Do Kwon has recommended retaining both blockchains, the original being LUNA Classic (LUNC) and a parallel one being LUNA, based on snapshots taken from May 7, 2022. The total supply of the new LUNA Core chain would be capped at 1 billion tokens following the tokenomics detailed below:

  • 25% - Community pool, controlled by staked governance
  • 1% - Essential Developers emergency allocation. No lockup
  • 4% - Essential developers (1 year cliff, 4 year vesting thereafter, granted after launch traction)
  • 35% - All bonded / unbonded Luna, minus TFL at “Pre-attack” snapshot
    • For wallets with < 1M Luna: 1 year cliff, 2 year vesting thereafter
    • For wallets with > 1M Luna: 1 year cliff, 4 year vesting thereafter
  • 10% - Luna holders (staking derivatives included) at the “Launch” snapshot - 10% unlocked at genesis, 90% vested over 2 years thereafter
  • 25% - UST holders at the “Launch” snapshot - 10% unlocked at genesis, rest vested over 2 years thereafter

The revival plan does not have provisions for traders that sold LUNA during the crash, and holders that were locked out of their UST tokens (in exchange wallets) due to the exchange's decision to halt trading. Therefore, UST holders from exchanges like Coinbase have criticized Terra’s move. The fork could be a milestone event for LUNA and UST holders and aid the token’s recovery. The hard fork proposal will be voted in the Terra community on May 18, 2022.

Do Kwon said that “Terra is more than UST” and making it a completely community-owned chain through a fork is the best way forward for the project, its community of developers and token holders. 

Terra hard fork inspired on Ethereum’s DAO hack

Proponents have noted the likeness between Terra’s proposed fork and Ethereum’s hard fork of 2016, the famous DAO hack. Back then, Ethereum (ETH) was the forked blockchain, and Ethereum Classic (ETC) was the core blockchain. The Ethereum hard fork was a bailout to rescue the blockchain and its stakeholders from the negative impact of stolen funds, to the tune of $50 million. Since the hard fork, the Ethereum network has witnessed massive growth. Proponents believe the upcoming LUNA hard fork represents a bailout for the Terra ecosystem after the coordinated attack against its algorithmic stablecoin UST. 

Experts split on Terra’s LUNA price recovery potential

Glauber Contessoto, a crypto leading analyst, believes purchasing LUNA at this point is "a high-risk transaction" as the Luna Foundation Guard council has already utilized nearly $3 billion of its reserves trying to save UST and the new revival plan does away with TerraUSD entirely. 

@Hayess5178, another leading crypto analyst and developer, believes LUNA price could recoup some of its losses. LUNA price is attempting to break out, and a close above hourly resistance at $0.000207 could confirm an uptrend. 

Is it time to buy-the-dip on cryptocurrencies?

Terra's LUNA collapse brought the whole cryptocurrency market down, with Bitcoin price and all the altcoins suffering heavy losses. This might have presented a good buy-the-dip opportunity, is it time to go long on Bitcoin? 

South Korea launches “emergency” inspection after Terra's LUNA and UST collapse

South Korea's financial authorities have launched "emergency" inspections into domestic cryptocurrency exchange operators to enhance investors' protection after the recent collapse of the TerraUSD and Luna cryptocurrencies, sources said Tuesday. The move came after TerraUSD and LUNA's death spiral caused massive losses to investors and sending shockwaves across the world.

According to industry sources, the Financial Services Commission (FSC) and the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) have recently asked local cryptocurrency exchange operators to share information on transactions linked to TerraUSD and LUNA, including the volumes of their trading, their closing prices and the number of relevant investors. The top financial regulators have also asked them to provide their countermeasures to the recent market crash and analyses of what caused the collapse. 


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch

Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.

More Bitcoin News
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins. 

More Bitcoin News
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction

Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction

Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.

More Solana News
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs

SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs

The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.

Read full analysis
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP