Institutional accumulation at all-time highs suggests Bitcoin rally to $60,000


  • According to Willy Woo, Bitcoin has entered the zone of peak accumulation by large wallet investors.
  • Asset managers have opened long positions worth $165 million in Bitcoin, signal the bullish outlook of institutions.
  • Analysts project Bitcoin to hit an all-time high above $180,000 in the current bull market.
  • The flippening becomes increasingly unlikely as Bitcoin rallies to $50,000 yet again. 

As Bitcoin has broken above the $50,000 psychological barrier, buyers exercise optimism for significant gains at the end of the year. 

Analysts expect spectacular gains at the end of year, as BTC bull-run resumes

According to Willy Woo, an influential on-chain analyst, Bitcoin’s bullish break above $50,000 has kicked in the second leg of the bull-run. Woo’s Bitcoin Supply Shock model is a measure of investor demand and supply. It indicates zones of peak accumulation that historically occur before a prolonged price rally. 

When large wallet holders accumulate BTC and resist selling it for a prolonged time, a price rally is triggered by the “scarcity” of Bitcoin, given the demand remains the same. Based on the model, BTC has now entered the zone of peak accumulation by long-term holders. 

The indicator plots the ratio of “coins that cannot be bought” (accumulated by holders) vs. “coins that can be bought” (available on exchanges). The amount of Bitcoin pulled out of circulation five months ago qualifies as “coins that cannot be bought” in the following chart.

Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply Shock

Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply Shock.

In addition to Woo’s supply shock model, the open interest associated with long positions on Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) has hit its highest level at $165.7 million. This implies that asset managers across institutions are bullish on the asset. 

Compared to long positions, short positions sit at $74.1 million. This value is substantially low when compared to the peak of nearly $264 million noted ahead of the May 2021 bloodbath. 

Given the bullish outlook of both institutional and retail traders, pseudonymous cryptocurrency analyst @Pentosh1 has predicted that BTC will hit a new all-time high above $180,000. 

Travis Kling, founder and chief investment officer at Ikigai Fund, took a conservative approach in his Bitcoin prediction. Kling has set the next price target at $58,000, calling it “easily attainable.”

With an increasing correlation between Bitcoin and Ethereum, the altcoin is currently rallying alongside the top asset. The narrative of “flippening,” or Ethereum’s market capitalization exceeding Bitcoin’s, is becoming increasingly unlikely. 

@Pentosh1 has predicted that “flippening” is less likely to occur anytime before 2022. 

FXStreet analysts evaluated BTC to predict where the crypto is heading next, setting the next target at $57,000. 

 


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch

Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.

More Bitcoin News
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins. 

More Bitcoin News
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction

Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction

Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.

More Solana News
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs

SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs

The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.

Read full analysis
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP