- Sentiment among crypto investors has been “fear” and “extreme fear” for most of 2022, according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
- Bitcoin inflows from private wallets now account for 40% of total inflows across exchanges, signaling a rise in selling pressure.
- Analysts observe Bitcoin recently completed its sixth red weekly candle, and the price could plummet to $28,000.
Amidst the broad crypto market bloodbath, analysts have identified key metrics that indicate further drop in Bitcoin price. BTC price has consistently dropped after hitting an all-time high six months ago, hinting at the possibility of crypto winter.
Bitcoin price could bleed as crypto winter arrives
The “Crypto Fear and Greed Index” by Alternative.me is considered a key indicator of investor sentiment. The indicator compiles data on volatility, market momentum, social media surveys, Bitcoin dominance and trends.
The sentiment, therefore, reflects the attitude of investors towards a cryptocurrency. Since sentiment can influence traders, it is used for short-term price predictions.
The index reveals for a large portion of 2022, the sentiment in market participants has been “fear,” and “extreme fear.”
Crypto Fear & Greed Index
The sentiment has remained largely unchanged since January 2022, alongside a general slump in sentiment on stocks. A prolonged period of falling prices and negative market sentiment is indicative of crypto winter.
In early 2018, crypto winter set in, Bitcoin price plummeted 85%, and altcoins continued to bleed. Lark Davis, a leading crypto analyst, recently observed that Bitcoin closed its sixth consecutive red candle. The last time this occurred was in 2014, ahead of a Bitcoin bear market.
#bitcoin has just completed its 6th red weekly candle.
— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) May 9, 2022
The last time this happened was 2014!
That's crazy man! pic.twitter.com/kWdBiPA5th
The source of Bitcoin inflows to exchanges is another critical metric used to identify an upcoming trend reversal or a shift in trader sentiment. Inflows from private wallets were lower than 10% across exchanges. This number has hit 40% with a massive spike in exchange BTC inflows from private wallets.
Philip Gradwell, chief economist at Chainalysis, believes this metric reveals that there is a rise in selling pressure on Bitcoin across exchanges.
Private wallets are now 40% of exchange bitcoin inflows rather than the typical 10%, which means there is a lot of extra sell pressure - and it is a similar story for ETH... pic.twitter.com/Vxfj7fF8p7
— Philip Gradwell (@philip_gradwell) May 9, 2022
Peter Brandt, legendary veteran trader recently predicted Bitcoin price drop to $28,000. While analysts like @rektcapital believe Bitcoin price could plummet lower, @Nebraskangooner, advisor at PrimeXBT, argues Bitcoin price could recover if the asset sustains above the $32,000 support level. The analyst notes that, for now, Bitcoin price is at lower support areas.
Everyone still super bearish calling for $28k.
— Nebraskangooner (@Nebraskangooner) May 9, 2022
Yes it could happen.
But we just dropped straight from $43k and $32,000 was my lower support so I'm not going to be uber bearish unless we break through that.
For now we assume we're at lower support areas.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks

PEPE Price Forecast: PEPE could rally to double digits if it breaks above its key resistance level
Pepe (PEPE) memecoin approaches its descending trendline, trading around $0.000007 on Tuesday; a breakout indicates a bullish move ahead.

Tron Price Prediction: Tether’s $1B move triggers TRX ahead of US Congress stablecoin bill review on Wednesday
Tron price defied the broader crypto market downtrend, surging 3% to $0.25 on Monday. This bullish momentum comes as stablecoin issuer Tether minted another $1 billion worth of USDT on the Tron network, according to on-chain data from Arkham.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Short-term holders spark $400 million in realized losses, staking flows surge
Ethereum (ETH) bounced off the $1,800 support on Monday following increased selling pressure from short-term holders (STHs) and tensions surrounding President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariff kick-off on April 2.

BlackRock CEO warns Bitcoin could replace US Dollar as global reserve currency, crypto ETFs witness inflows
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink stated in an annual letter to investors on Monday that the US national debt could cause the Dollar's global reserve status to be replaced with Bitcoin if investors begin to see the digital currency as a safer asset.

Bitcoin: BTC remains calm before a storm
Bitcoin's price has been consolidating between $85,000 and $88,000 this week. A K33 report explains how the markets are relatively calm and shaping up for volatility as traders absorb the tariff announcements. PlanB’s S2F model shows that Bitcoin looks extremely undervalued compared to Gold and the housing market.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.