First Mover Asia: Bitcoin upbeat above $20k as investors grow optimistic that steep rate hikes will soon end

Crypto and other markets responded favorably to a surprisingly large decline in U.S. job openings, which offer the latest evidence of economic slowing.

Good morning. Here’s what’s happening:

Prices: Bitcoin, ether and other cryptos spend another day in the green.

Insights: The SEC's settlement with mega-influencer Kim Kardashian is a warning to the crypto industry, as CoinDesk columnist Daniel Kuhn noted in Tuesday's edition of the Node. (First Mover Asia writers Sam Reynolds and Shaurya Malwa are away.)

Prices

• Bitcoin (BTC): $20,209 +3.1%
• Ether (ETH): $1,356 +2.5%
• CoinDesk Market Index (CMI): $986 +2.4%
• S&P 500 daily close: 3,790.93 +3.1%
• Gold: $1,732 per troy ounce +2.3%
• Ten-year Treasury yield daily close: 3.62% −3e+1

Bitcoin, ether and gold prices are taken at approximately 4pm New York time. Bitcoin is the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index (XBX); Ether is the CoinDesk Ether Price Index (ETX); Gold is the COMEX spot price. Information about CoinDesk Indices can be found at coindesk.com/indices.

Bitcoin Spends the Day Back Over $20K

By James Rubin

Say hello to $20,000 again.

Bitcoin rose markedly for a second consecutive day and was recently trading at about $20,200, a more than 3% gain over the past 24 hours and its highest level in a week. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has crossed the psychologically important threshold several times over the past month but failed to stick amid investor concerns about inflation and the prospect of a harsh recession.

On Tuesday, markets responded positively to a surprising decline in job openings in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), which offered hope that the economy was slowing enough for the U.S. central bank to reverse course on steep interest rate hikes in the not-too-distant future.

Ether was recently changing hands above $1,350, up more than 5% from the previous day, same time. Other major altcoins spent much of the day firmly in the green with DOGE rising more than 10% after Elon Musk, a champion of the popular meme coin, indicated he would be willing to follow through on his original proposal to purchase social media platform Twitter. SHIB, a similarly dog-themed meme coin and LINK, climbed over 4% and 5%, respectively.

The CoinDesk Market Index (CMI), a broad-based market index that measures performance across a basket of cryptocurrencies, recently increased by 2.4%.

Equity markets continued their so-far, buoyant week with the tech-focused Nasdaq and S&P 500, which has a strong technology component, jumping 3.3% and 3.1%, respectively, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rising 2.8%. Investors responded favorably to an unexpectedly small interest rate hike by Australia's central bank and the JOLTS reading suggesting that the hot jobs market was finally losing steam. Torrid job figures have concerned U.S. central bankers looking for signs of an economic downtrend.

The price of Brent crude oil, a widely watched measure of energy markets, traded roughly flat but still hovered over $91 per barrel, and investors will be eyeing Wednesday's report by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which is expected to cut supplies. Bond yields and the dollar, which recently soared to multi-year highs, fell again.

Bankrupt crypto lender Celsius Network's woes continued with the resignation on Tuesday of co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer S. Daniel Leon. He follows now-former CEO Alex Mashinsky, who departed the company last week. Celsius filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New York in July, and now faces an inquiry from an investigator appointed by the U.S. Trustee's office and authorized by the Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York.

And Japan plans for expanding its digital presence will include non-fungible tokens (NFT) and metaverse services, Japan Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said in a policy speech Monday.

In an email to CoinDesk, Mark Connors, head researcher at Canadian digital asset firm 3iQ, wrote that despite this month's early gains across risk-on assets, markets remain unsettled. Connors called the S&P 500's 5.3% October increase a "price action...more indicative of an option or a warrant than a $32B+ large cap equity index," and said that the volatilities of currencies and treasury bonds were "even more unusual."

"The low vol, highly leveraged currency and rate assets are exhibiting the highest relative volatility," he said, adding: "What you DONT see are unusual moves in BTC or ETH. This is because monetary policy is causing problems in the fiat based plumbing. Asset prices are falling too fast."

"This story is far from over."

Biggest Gainers

Asset	Ticker	Returns	DACS Sector
Dogecoin	DOGE	+10.1%	Currency
Chainlink	LINK	+5.8%	Computing
Terra	LUNA	+5.1%	Smart Contract Platform

Biggest Losers

There are no losers in CoinDesk 20 today.

Insights

Kim Kardashian, EthereumMax and the SEC's Publicity Grab

By Daniel Kuhn

Monday, before the market opened, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced it settled with celebrity influencer Kim Kardashian for $1.26 million related to her paid endorsement of a cryptocurrency called EthereumMax. Just as when Kardashian first shilled the token in June 2021 (and failed to disclose the $250,000 she was paid to do so), the news raises the question … why? Why did Kardashian get involved in the first place, and why is the SEC fining her now?

The SEC, under Chairman Gary Gensler, is looking to send a message: Celebrities should think twice before endorsing cryptocurrencies. Kardashian, a celebrity who has built her reputation on being famous as well as ubiquitous, is a high-profile target. With a federal agency that is consistently underfunded going after this big target, the settlement serves as a warning for the crypto industry at large.

Influencers Are 'Easier to Pick Off' Than Token Issuers: Former SEC Official on Kim Kardashian

But the news also comes amid a deep market rout, where every day brings more news of crimes swept under the rug during a FOMO-fueled market rally during the COVID-19 pandemic. Three Arrows Capital, once thought to be one of the smartest hands in the game, was found to have built its fortune largely by rehypothecating borrowed funds. Alex Mashinsky, the founder and former CEO of bankrupt “neo-bank” Celsius Network was just found to be siphoning funds from Celsius.

Figures like Mashinsky and Three Arrow’s Kyle Davies and Su Zhu promised much more than Kardashian and other celebrity crypto endorsers ever could. Celsius’ unofficial slogan was “unbank yourself.” The Three Arrows hedge fund operated under the idea of an unstoppable crypto “supercycle.” Until the firm imploded under the weight of bad debt and bad bets, Celsius promised users returns of up to 20% on their crypto holdings. Mashinsky is now selling T-shirts saying, “Unbankrupt Yourself.”

Read the full story here.

Important events

8:30 a.m. HKT/SGT(12:30 a.m. UTC): Jibun Bank services PMI (Sept.)

9 a.m. HKT/SGT(1 a.m. UTC): Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision and statement

4 p.m. HKT/SGT(8 a.m. UTC): OPEC meeting

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