Jonathan Morgan
Independent Analyst
- Ethereum price continues to trudge higher, but some selling pressure enters the market.
- Seven-week Gann ‘Death Zone’ time cycle complete, a corrective move likely.
- The downside risk is likely to be limited.
Ethereum price has now completed seven consecutive weeks of the weekly candlesticks closing above their open. In other words, seven straight weeks of green/white weekly candlesticks. That is a record for Ethereum; the previous consecutive bullish weekly candlestick record close was five – between the weeks of May 19th 2017, and June 16th 2017.
Ethereum price could drop 20% as Gann and Ichimoku warn of a big dip coming soon
Ethereum price is primed for a violent and swift mean reversion trade. This is due to a critical time cycle in Gann analysis known as the ‘Death Cycle.’ Gann warned that any instrument trending at a steep angle for seven weeks (forty-nine to fifty-two days) is at risk of a near-immediate corrective move or trend change.
Complimenting Gann’s time cycle analysis is the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system’s confirmatory price behavior. Ethereum price has extensive gaps between the bodies of the weekly candlesticks and the Tenkan-Sen. Gaps between candlestick bodies and the Tenkan-Sen do not last long and often resolve in roughly four to six periods.
The projected retracement is the $4,000 value area near the weekly Tenkan-Sen, but Ethereum price could travel lower to the Kijun-Sen at $3,300. While doubtful to occur, if Ethereum faces a capitulation move south, its final support on the weekly chart is at $2,300, where Senkou Span B and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement reside.
ETH/USD Weekly Ichimoku Chart
An invalidation of the projected retracement south would occur if Ethereum were to close at a new all-time high.
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch
Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction
Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs
The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy
Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.