|

Ethereum Price: On-chain metrics show why ETH is capped under $2,000

  • Ethereum price has been trapped between the $1,800 and $1,900 range for the past week.
  • Declining whale activity and flat exchange balances suggest a contemplative mood among ETH traders.
  • ETH could struggle to breach the $2,000 resistance.

Ethereum price (ETH) has been unable to record more gains for weeks, with on-chain data revealing that Ether whales remain skeptical. Similarly, the easing supply of coins on exchanges indicates that investors could be looking to book short-term profits.

Ethereum price stagnation explained using on-chain metrics

Based on Santiment data, Ether transactions worth $100,000 and above have dropped significantly as the Shanghai/Capella upgrade countdown continues.

From the chart above, the ETH whale transaction count has dropped steadily over the past month, declining 84% from 14,655 transactions on March 11 to a meager 2,346 transactions as of the end of day April 10.

The whales’ activity often serves as a primary indicator of market sentiment, such that fewer transactions point to low confidence in the short-term price prospects of the token. Accordingly, retail investors could also grow less interested.

A flattening supply of Ether on exchanges also points to a negative short-term outlook for Ethereum. In this regard, as ETH witnessed a price uptick in late March, investors started moving tokens out of exchanges.

As shown, Ethereum outflows have flattened since the onset of April. Nevertheless, between March 31 and April 10, ETH Supply on Exchanges remained relatively fixed at 12.49 million coins. 

The trend represented in the chart suggests that Ethereum investors are holding ETH on exchanges with hopes of cashing in on short-term trading opportunities instead of storing them in cold wallets. Notably, cold wallets, otherwise termed offline wallets, would position them for future profits.

As such, this leaves large supply volumes requisite for fulfilling buy orders without causing significant upward pressure.  

Simply put, the drop in whale transactions and the steady supply of coins on exchanges are significant obstacles to the explosion in Ethereum price.

Ethereum price faces a major resistance level, IntoTheBlock data shows

At the time of writing, Ethereum is auctioning for $1,889 after gaining almost 2% in the last 24 hours. Over the same timeframe, the altcoin’s trading volume is up almost 30% to $7.76 billion. However, the price has been unable to forge a path onward.

ETH/USDT 12-hour chart

Data from IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of Money Around Price (GIOMAP) indicates that if bulls show reluctance and Ethereum price drops below the $1,835 support level, bears could quickly take control.

Nevertheless, the 2.06 million addresses purchased up to 4.09 million ETH between the $1,805 to $1,896 price range will provide support. Failure of this support level to hold could see the PoS token plunge further to the $1,753 support level.

Conversely, Ethereum price could increase and break above the $2,000 barrier if sidelined investors jump in.

However, a cohort of around 1.7 million addresses that bought almost 1.84 million ETH tokens at prices just under $2,000 could look to sell after breaking even. In highly bullish cases, Ethereum price could ascend to the psychological $2,500 resistance level.

Author

Lockridge Okoth

Lockridge is a believer in the transformative power of crypto and the blockchain industry.

More from Lockridge Okoth
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP face pressure near key technical barriers

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) hover around key levels on Monday after correcting slightly in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could face increased downside risk as bearish momentum builds across key indicators.

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash (DASH), SPX6900 (SPX), and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC and ETH eyes breakout, XRP steadies at support

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.