Dogecoin price action hints DOGE can reverse its bearish trend

Dogecoin (DOGE) price presents a potential for trend reversal provided a certain set of conditions are met. These conditions involve overcoming key hurdles for DOGE bulls and seeing momentum indicators flip bullish on lower time frames.

Also read: Dogecoin price grows a shield against this cohort, even as selling from it hits a historic high

Dogecoin price lacks initiation

Dogecoin price is close to retesting the lower limit of the $0.07053 to $0.09520 range for the fourth time in the last month. Connecting the swing highs formed over the last month using a trend line shows a declining resistance level as seen in the chart below. 

A reversal in trend seems likely, but there are a few conditions that need to be achieved:

1. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) has been receding below the zero line, suggesting a rise in bullish momentum. A decisive flip above the zero line would confirm that buyers are attempting a rally.
2. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has spent roughly 41 days below the mean level and is attempting to flip it. A successful reclaim of the 50-level, along with AO, would confirm the start of an uptrend.

If the above two conditions are met, investors can expect Dogecoin price to breach the short-term target at $0.07399. While this recovery rally might be smaller in magnitude, an extension of the run-up will occur if DOGE bulls manage to overcome the $0.07483 hurdle. 

In such a case, Dogecoin price could attempt a retest of the larger range’s midpoint at $0.08287.

DOGE/USDT 1-day chart

While the overall outlook for Dogecoin price seems bullish, a breakdown of the $0.07053 will create a lower low and invalidate the bullish thesis. In such a case, DOGE could slide 2% and revisit the $0.06856 swing low formed on May 25. 

In a dire case, Dogecoin price could revisit the $0.05972 support floor.