|

Cardano Price Prediction: Breakout Trading 101

  • Cardano price has been trading range bound for the last three days in the 40-cent zone.
  • ADA Is setting up a bullish swing of 9%, targeting $0.440.
  • Evaluation of the bullish thesis will come from a breach below $0.395.

Cardona price is building a cause for the next bullish surge. Key levels have been identified to assess how an uptick in volatility could impact the current trading range.

Cardano price shows subtle bullish urgency

Cardano price shows peculiar market behavior within the $0.40 zone. On February 20th, the early morning bears controlled the trend triggering a breach of the range low at $0.397. 

The scalable smart contract token has been trading within this range for three days. The early-morning trigger of the range low was short-lived as bulls promptly joined the market and forged a 3% surge back up to the other side of the range.

Cardano price currently auctions at $0.405. The recent price action suggests that bears in the market are trapped within the overall pennant formation that has been forming in the $0.40 zone. Classical technical analysis would suggest multiplying the total days the ADA price has traded within the range by the average percentage. 

A 3% upswing multiplied by the last three days of trading in the $0.40 zone would result in a 9% surge toward the $0.44 region. A spike toward the target would liquidate highs above November's 2022 market top at $0.438. A hurdle over the previous day's high at $0.412 would be the final confirmation that a rally was taking place.

tm.ada.2/20

ADA/USDDT 1-Day Chart

Invalidation of the bullish thesis could arise from a breach below the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA), which provided support during the early morning sell-off. A breach of the EMA at $0.395 could lead to a 9% decline to the downside targeting $0.362.

 

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.