|

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA achieves a breakthrough, here’s where it could go next

  • Cardano price ended last week up 8.50% and recorded the third consecutive positive week.
  • ADA broke out from a symmetrical triangle pattern and registered a daily and weekly close above the strategic 2018 high of $1.40.
  • The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has turned higher, introducing new, credible support for the current rally.

Cardano price printed a daily close above the 2018 high on August 6, marking the first time since July 7 and establishing a basis to extend the rally beyond the July 4 high of $1.50 based on the measured move of the symmetrical triangle. Moving forward, ADA needs to confirm the rise above $1.40 with a daily close above $1.50 before investors can confidently adopt a bullish narrative for the cryptocurrency.

Cardano price close, but still far from shining again

Cardano price has climbed 40% since July 21, based on the price at writing. It is a strong return, but compared to other altcoins, it is subpar, with Ethereum, for example, climbing over 70%. However, the resulting resolution of the symmetrical triangle has motivated ADA to close above the 2018 high of $1.40 on a daily and weekly basis, generating a minor breakthrough for the digital token.

The measured move of the symmetrical triangle is almost 22%, proposing an ADA price target of $1.74 from the breakout above the triangle’s upper trend line on August 5 and the potential for Cardano price to rally an additional 18% before tagging the target.

A boost to the ADA outlook for better outcomes is activating the bullish Golden Cross pattern on the six-hour chart, increasing the momentum quotient for Cardano price. The previous Golden Cross on the six-hour chart was noted in November 2020, before the 80% jump in the month.

If Cardano price does gain additional upside momentum from the Golden Cross, ADA has the potential to test the June 3 high of $1.89, representing a gain of over 28% from the current price.

A daily close below the 2018 high introduces a challenge for the developing bullish narrative. Thus it is essential that Cardano price sticks above $1.40 or risk defining the top of another failed ADA rally above the critical level, as was the case in early July.

ADA/USD daily chart

ADA/USD daily chart

Of course, Cardano price could struggle and lose the 2018 high. The downside levels of importance include the bottoming 50-day SMA at $1.30 and the 200-day SMA at $1.24.

ADA is on the cusp of shining again, but it will require a daily close above the July 4 high of $1.50 to be confirmed. Nevertheless, the pieces are coming together, such as the successful breakout from a symmetrical triangle continuation pattern, the weekly close above $1.40 and the Golden Cross on the six-hour chart.

Here, FXStreet's analysts evaluate where ADA could be heading next.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP face pressure near key technical barriers

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) hover around key levels on Monday after correcting slightly in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could face increased downside risk as bearish momentum builds across key indicators.

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash (DASH), SPX6900 (SPX), and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC and ETH eyes breakout, XRP steadies at support

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.