|

Cardano price could dip 5% amid growing overhead pressure

  • Cardano price is attempting a recovery rally on higher timeframes after a 35% fall from the July 12 high of $0.3793.
  • The odds still favor the downside and ADA could fall 5% to test the support floor at $0.2415.
  • Invalidation of the bearish outlook will occur once the altcoin records a three-day candlestick close above the $0.3082 level.

Cardano (ADA) price is attempting a recovery rally on the higher timeframes, recording three consecutive higher highs as indicated in the chart below. However, bulls must do more if the trend is to be sustained, with overhead pressure building up to cloud the token’s upward momentum.

Also Read: Altcoins lead crypto market crash as liquidations hit $73 million

Cardano bears eye a 15% slump

The Cardano (ADA) price recovery rally seems limited amid growing overhead pressure. It faces the initial resistance at $0.2710, with several other layers above it representing supplier congestion levels. Specifically, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2907 is critical, coinciding with the supply zone, which is an order block ranging from $0.2907 to $0.3292.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 level and edging south as momentum continues to fade. This is trailed by the lagging Awesome Oscillator (AO), still in the negative territory.

With these, Cardano price is likely to head lower, possibly tagging the support floor at $0.2415. In the dire case, the slump could continue, potentially going as low as the $0.2200 range low.  Such a move would constitute a 15% slump below current levels.

ADA/USDT 3-day chart

Data from the on-chain aggregator “IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of the Money” (GIOM) metric shows that a lot of supply barriers abound above for Cardano bulls, and will likely prevent ADA from achieving its upside potential. Based on this on-chain metric, multiple supplier congestion zones are present, with the first occurring between $0.2642 and $0.2945 where 251,880 addresses bought approximately 4.01 billion ADA tokens at an average price of $0.2795.

ADA GIOM

However, renewed buyer interest and therefore momentum could send Cardano price above the immediate $0.2710 hurdle, clearing the path into the supply zone at the $0.2907 level. A decisive three-day candlestick close above its midline at $0.3082 would invalidate the bearish outlook. Above and beyond, ADA could break out from the supply zone, flip it to a bullish breaker before tagging the 100-day EMA at $0.3472. Such a move would denote a 50% climb above current levels.

Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins FAQs

What is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a virtual currency designed to serve as money. This form of payment cannot be controlled by any one person, group, or entity, which eliminates the need for third-party participation during financial transactions.

What are altcoins?

Altcoins are any cryptocurrency apart from Bitcoin, but some also regard Ethereum as a non-altcoin because it is from these two cryptocurrencies that forking happens. If this is true, then Litecoin is the first altcoin, forked from the Bitcoin protocol and, therefore, an “improved” version of it.

What are stablecoins?

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to have a stable price, with their value backed by a reserve of the asset it represents. To achieve this, the value of any one stablecoin is pegged to a commodity or financial instrument, such as the US Dollar (USD), with its supply regulated by an algorithm or demand. The main goal of stablecoins is to provide an on/off-ramp for investors willing to trade and invest in cryptocurrencies. Stablecoins also allow investors to store value since cryptocurrencies, in general, are subject to volatility.

What is Bitcoin Dominance?

Bitcoin dominance is the ratio of Bitcoin's market capitalization to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. It provides a clear picture of Bitcoin’s interest among investors. A high BTC dominance typically happens before and during a bull run, in which investors resort to investing in relatively stable and high market capitalization cryptocurrency like Bitcoin. A drop in BTC dominance usually means that investors are moving their capital and/or profits to altcoins in a quest for higher returns, which usually triggers an explosion of altcoin rallies.

 

Author

Lockridge Okoth

Lockridge is a believer in the transformative power of crypto and the blockchain industry.

More from Lockridge Okoth
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.