- Pre-halving rally will be short-lived, experts believe.
- BTC/USD may drop to $6,000 before the growth is resumed.
While Bitcoin takes one major resistance after another, Michael van de Poppe, a full-time day/swing trader in cryptocurrencies based at the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, believes that it is not the time for the bulls to rest on their laurels. Recently he published a new forecast that implies a sharp Bitcoin correction after this cryptocurrency's halving. He says that the market will play out a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' scenario, which will lead to Bitcoin's sell-off.
This is my main scenario for $BTC, still. Halving; 'buy the rumor, sell the news' event with a selloff to occur. After that correction, the bull market can start.
He identified $5,900 as the correction target that will stop the sell-off and trigger another bullish wave.
Meanwhile, Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst at Oanda, also warns that the current bullish momentum is a result of speculators'activity, while the halving may come as a disappointment as it is already priced in.
The Bitcoin halving in under two weeks may explain some of the bullish activity by speculators. But you have to think that an event that has been in the diary for so long will already be priced in. This could see some of these moves faded as we hit halving day.
This view is mostly shared by Christel Quek, Chief Commercial Officer and Co-Founder at Bolt Global. Speaking in a recent interview with Bloomberg, he explained that BTC price may drop after the halving as investors might consider taking a profit.
This is an unprecedented time as liquidity remains a priority for investors fleeing equity markets. Therefore, while Bitcoin should rise into $10,000s after the halving, it could be followed with a price drop as investors engage in profit-taking. No level of technical support can stand when the economy is drained.
At the time of writing, BTC/USD is changing hands at $8,850, with over 10% of day-to-day gains. The first digital coin has increased by 42% in the recent month and gained over 75% in 12 months.
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
XRP struggles near $0.7440, could still sustain rally after Robinhood listing
Ripple's XRP is trading near $0.6900, down nearly 3% on Wednesday, as declining open interest could extend its price correction. However, other on-chain metrics point to a long-term bullish setup.
Dogecoin price forecast: Miners offload $240M as DOGE approaches risk zone
Since Donald Trump’s victory on November 5, Dogecoin has emerged as the best performing asset among the top 10 ranked cryptocurrencies. On November 12, DOGE reached a new milestone price propelled by Trump’s statement confirming Elon Musk’s involvement in the incoming administration.
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH's declining supply could fuel bullish pressure toward $3,732
Ethereum is trading near $3,220, down 2.5% on Wednesday after its supply began trending downward. The declining supply could fuel bullish pressure for the top altcoin, especially as institutional demand for ETH ETFs is also rising.
PEPE hits new all-time high, rallies nearly 50% following Robinhood and Coinbase listing
PEPE rallied over 50% on Wednesday and hit a new all-time high after crypto exchanges Robinhood and Coinbase announced they would list the meme coin on their respective trading platforms.
Bitcoin: Further upside likely after hitting new all-time high
Bitcoin hit a fresh high of $76,849 on Thursday as crypto-friendly candidate Donald Trump won the US presidential election. Institutional demand returned with the highest single-day inflow on Thursday since the ETFs’ launch in January.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.