• Billionaire investor Mark Cuban discussed on Twitter on Wednesday Silicon Valley's growing support for former President Trump.
  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their fourth straight day of inflows on Thursday, totaling $84.80 million. 
  • On-chain data shows that BTC is experiencing ‘overselling’ conditions, signaling a potential market bottom.

Bitcoin (BTC) price increased by 5.5% this week until Friday after breaking above a descending trendline. Currently, it is trading slightly higher by 0.23% at $64,166. By Thursday of this week, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs observed cumulative positive inflows totaling $861.50 million. On-chain data indicates oversold conditions for BTC, suggesting a possible market bottom.

Billionaire investor Mark Cuban tweets about Bitcoin

Billionaire investor Mark Cuban took to Twitter on Wednesday to discuss Silicon Valley's increasing support for former President Trump, describing it as a strategic "bitcoin play."

Cuban said, "Not because the former President is a far stronger proponent of crypto. That's nice. But doesn't really impact the price of crypto. It makes it easier to operate a crypto business because of the inevitable, and required, changes at the SEC."

He emphasized that BTC's price movement hinges more significantly on factors like lower tax rates and inflationary pressures from global uncertainty around the U.S. Dollar's reserve status. 

In the second part of the tweet, Cuban explained how high Bitcoin price can go as its supply is limited to 21 million coins, with unlimited fractionalization. He added, "Keep that in mind as you consider what happens if, because of geopolitical uncertainty and the decline of the dollar as the reserve currency, BTC becomes a "safe haven" globally.  Which means that BTC could be what countries and all of us look to buy as a means to protect our savings". 

While cautious about making definitive predictions, Cuban acknowledged the possibility that Bitcoin could gain broader adoption, aligning with the ambitions of its strongest supporters.

Bitcoin Spot ETFs experience inflows this week

According to Coinglass data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their fourth straight day of inflows on Thursday, totaling $84.80 million. Cumulatively, these inflows reached $861.50 million by Thursday this week, indicating rising investor confidence and potentially forecasting a short-term 5.5% increase in Bitcoin's price. Monitoring the net inflows of these ETFs is critical for grasping market dynamics and investor sentiment. As of Thursday, the collective Bitcoin reserves held by these 11 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs stood at $52.22 billion.

Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) chart

Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) chart

Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) chart

Bitcoin on-chain data analysis looks promising

According to Santiment's Bitcoin Funding Rate and Positive Sentiment data, despite a mid-sized bounce in the crypto market this week, positive sentiment towards Bitcoin has sharply declined. Concurrently, many traders on platforms like Binance are initiating short positions, anticipating a further decline in BTC. These factors collectively heighten the potential for increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin Funding Rate and Positive Sentiment Chart

Bitcoin Funding Rate and Positive Sentiment Chart

The CryptoQuant Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio provides crucial insights into market trends. It generates short—or long-term signals by comparing short-term and long-term NVT trends. 

An NVT value above 2.2 suggests potential overbuying, indicative of a market top, while a value below -1.6 suggests overselling, signaling a potential market bottom. 

Currently, the NVT value below -1.8 indicates local bottoms. If the 111-day moving average (DMA) holds above $65,000, there could be potential upward movement in the near term. These metrics suggest the market is oversold and may be poised for a recovery phase.

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross chart

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross chart

Additionally, monitoring the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is a valuable tool for investors, offering insights into whether current market conditions align with historical currency trends. A high MVRV ratio of 3.7 indicates historical peaks, while a ratio of 1 or below suggests lows.

Currently hovering around 2.1, the MVRV ratio attempts to break a downtrend. This could pave the way for significant price increases following a retest, akin to patterns observed in previous market cycles.

Bitcoin MVRV Ratio

Bitcoin MVRV Ratio

Bitcoin price poised for pullback after retesting daily resistance at $65,000

Bitcoin price faced resistance near the daily level of $64,913 on Tuesday, leading to a 2% decline over the next two days. As of Friday, it is trading slightly higher by 0.23% at $64,166.

This level aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $64,921, derived from the swing high of $71,997 on June 7 to the swing low of $53,475 on July 5, establishing a critical zone of resistance to monitor closely.

Sideline buyers seeking opportunities can consider positions between the $59,200 and $57,800 levels, where the previously broken trendline resistance now serves as support. 

If BTC bounces off the $59,200 level, it could rise 9% to restest its daily resistance at $64,913.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Awesome Oscillator (A.O.) reinforce the noted rebound, with both indicators positioned above their neutral thresholds of 50 and zero, respectively. This robust momentum signals a strong bullish sentiment in the market.

Furthermore, surpassing the $64,913  level could allow an additional 3.5% rise to retest its next weekly resistance at $67,209.

BTC/USDT daily chart

BTC/USDT daily chart

However, a close below $56,405 for BTC, accompanied by a formation of a lower low on the daily timeframe, could indicate sustained bearish sentiment. Such a scenario might precipitate a 7.5% decline in Bitcoin's price, potentially leading to a retest of its daily support level at $52,266.


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Litecoin Price Prediction: LTC tries to retake $100 resistance as miners halt sell-off

Litecoin Price Prediction: LTC tries to retake $100 resistance as miners halt sell-off

Litecoin price grazed 105 mark on Monday, rebounding 22% from the one-month low of $87 recorded during last week’s market crash. On-chain data shows sell pressure among LTC miners has subsided. Is the bottom in?  

More Litecoin News
Bitcoin fails to recover as Metaplanet buys the dip

Bitcoin fails to recover as Metaplanet buys the dip

Bitcoin price struggles around $95,000 after erasing gains from Friday’s relief rally over the weekend. Bitcoin’s weekly price chart posts the first major decline since President-elect Donald Trump’s win in November.

More Bitcoin News
SEC Commissioner Hester Pierce sheds light on Ethereum ETF staking under new administration

SEC Commissioner Hester Pierce sheds light on Ethereum ETF staking under new administration

In a Friday interview with Coinage, SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce discussed her optimism about upcoming regulatory changes as the agency transitions to new leadership under President Trump’s pick for new Chair, Paul Atkins.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin dives 3% from its recent all-time high, is this the cycle top?

Bitcoin dives 3% from its recent all-time high, is this the cycle top?

Bitcoin investors panicked after the Fed's hawkish rate cut decision, hitting the market with high selling pressure. Bitcoin's four-year market cycle pattern indicates that the recent correction could be temporary.

More Bitcoin News
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot ETFs in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.

Read full analysis
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP