Bitcoin price recovery to $30,000 likely with dwindling BTC supply on exchanges


  • Bitcoin supply on exchange wallets has nosedived by nearly 15% to 1.13 million BTC since May 7. 
  • A significant decline in Bitcoin supply across exchanges signals a reduction in selling pressure on the asset. 
  • BTC is exchanging hands at $27,632, market participants are awaiting Bitcoin price recovery to the $30,000 peak seen in April 2023. 

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovery becomes likely with the declining supply of the asset on cryptocurrency exchange wallets. Since May 7, there has been a 15% decline in the asset’s supply, which could potentially reduce the selling pressure on Bitcoin. 

Also read: FTX creditors await retrieval of lost funds as Alameda Research receives $57.5 million in Tether

Bitcoin on exchanges hits lowest ratio since December 2017

The amount of Bitcoin on exchanges has hit its lowest ratio in five and half years. Based on data from the crypto intelligence tracker Santiment, there is an increased interest in self custody and this has reduced the likelihood of BTC getting sold back to exchange wallets. 

BTC supply on exchanges

BTC supply on exchanges plummets 

Interestingly, whales holding BTC have increased their activity as of May 9. A Binance-based Bitcoin wallet address that was dormant for a long time engaged in four transactions to move $2.26 billion worth of BTC out of the exchange. 

BTC supply on exchanges declined from 1.32 to 1.13 million tokens over the past 48 hours, as seen in the chart below. 

Bitcoin supply across exchange wallets

Bitcoin supply across exchange wallets

Typically, a decline in exchange wallet reserves of BTC is considered a bullish sign, since the lower amount of the asset on trading platforms makes less of the crypto available for sale. This translates to lower selling pressure and a likely recovery in Bitcoin price. 

Bitcoin price not out of the woods according to analyst

Despite the favorable on-chain metrics, technicals still point to a possible slide in BTC. Technical analyst at Castillo Trading argue that Bitcoin price is likely to witness short-term upside move before a correction lower. 

BTC/USD Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

BTC/USD Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

The expert is eyeing three Point Of Control levels at $28,262, $28,977, and $29,398. The analyst’s target for Bitcoin is $30,769 before BTC price corrects lower. 


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch

Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.

More Bitcoin News
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins. 

More Bitcoin News
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction

Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction

Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.

More Solana News
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs

SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs

The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy

Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.

Read full analysis
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP