|

Bitcoin price prediction: something is brewing   - Confluence Detector

  • BTC/USD is in dormancy, waiting for something to happen.
  • The range is the same: $3,800-$3,900.

No wonder that we cannot proceed any further from where we are. The market is stuck between a rock and a hard place. Lack of focus on fundamentals and purely speculative trading makes it hard to foresee the movements.

However, one thing is sure: a sustainable breakthrough in either direction will set the ball rolling. BTC has been sitting in a tight range for too long, building momentum and waiting for an opportunity.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD is changing hands at $3,840, mostly unchanged in recent 24 hours.

BTC/USD the daily confluence detector

The resistance zone above the current price thickens. It goes all the way up to $3,920 and serves as a substantial barrier for BTC bulls. This area contains a series of significant technical including:

  • Midline Bollinger Band on 1-hour, 4-hour and daily charts, the upper boundary of 1-hour Bollinger Band, upper and middle line of 15-min Bollinger Band.
  • A series of significant SMA levels including SMA200 and SMA100 (1-hour), DMA5 and DMA10, SMA50 (4-hour) and a host of 15-min SMA levels.
  • Fibo retracement levels (38.2% daily and monthly, 23.6% weekly. 61.8% daily)

Once we manage to plow through, $4,000 and $4,200 will jump back into focus with very little in terms of resistance levels that may stop the upside. Most likely, the decisive breakthrough will result in a strong upside movement.

Below the current price, the support is created by SMA100 (4-hour), 23.6% Fibo retracement daily, 38.2% Fibo retracement weekly, lower boundaries of 1-hour and 4-hour Bollinger Bands.

A move below those barriers will take us under $3,800 with the next support seem around $3,700. It is created by DMA50, the lower line of daily Bollinger Band and 61.8% Fibo retracement monthly

BTC/USD, 1D

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000. ASTER, NIGHT, and ENA risk further losses as selling pressure mounts and risk-off sentiment spreads across the crypto market.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine acquires 102,259 ETH as price plunges 5%

Ethereum (ETH) treasury company BitMine Immersion scaled up its digital asset stash last week after acquiring 102,259 ETH since its last update. The purchase has increased the company's holdings to 3.96 million ETH, worth about $11.82 billion at the time of publication.

Strategy scoops about $1 billion in Bitcoin for second consecutive week

Bitcoin (BTC) treasury and financial intelligence firm Strategy expanded its holdings following another round of weekly accumulation.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.