Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC/USD recovery an uphill task even as volatility looms – Confluence Detector


  • Bitcoin price recovery cut short marginally above $9,300 ahead of BTC futures contracts expiry.
  • Volatility is expected to increase in the course of Friday’s trading sessions.

Bitcoin price recovery hit pause slightly above $9,300 after an impressive bounce from the levels marginally under $9,000. The largest cryptocurrency has been ranging between $9,000 and $10,000 since the beginning of June. The recent surge did not make it past $9,800 despite overcoming last week’s hurdle at $9,600.

After cutting short the recovery, BTC/USD is trading at $9,223 while seeking support above $9,200. Consolidation is expected to take over from now henceforth. However, due to Bitcoin options expiring on major exchanges such as CME, Deribit and BitMEX, volatility is expected to increase massively as we usher in the weekend session.

Supporting sideways action is the sidelong RSI and MACD indicators. The latter is holding tight onto the mean line (0.00). Watching this indicator would help the traders tell the direction Bitcoin price takes, especially with the looming volatility. The RSI is also moving horizontally at the average (50) adding weight to the possibility of consolidation taking over.

As for the bulls, consolidation seems like the best bet to get out of the bearish trap as it will allow them to create fresh demand. It is also apparent that as long as Bitcoin stays under $10,000 bears will continue to have the upper hand. For now, keeping the price above $9,200 is good enough but first, let’s look at the confluence tool for some viable support and resistance areas.

BTC/USD daily chart

BTC/USD price chart

Bitcoin confluence resistance and support levels

Resistance one: $9,271 – A seller congestion zone highlighted by the SMA ten 4-hour, SMA 100 15-minutes, the previous high 15-minutes and the Bollinger Band 15-minutes middle curve.

Resistance two: $9,366 – Highlights by the Fibo 61.8% one-week, the previous high one-day, the SMA 50 4-hour, SMA 200 1-hour and the pivot point one-day resistance one.

Resistance three: $9,462 – The confluence is formed by the Bollinger Band 4-hour middle, the SMA 100 1-hour, SMA 200 4-hour and SMA five one-day.

Support one: $9,175 – This is the initial support according to the confluence tool and is home to the Fibo 38.2% one-week.

Support two: $9,079 – Is the second resistance highlighted by the pivot point one-day support one, Fibo 23.6% one-week and Fibo 23.6 one-day.

Support three: $8,887 – This confluence is home to the previous week's low and pivot point one-day support two.

fxsoriginal

More Bitcoin levels

BTC/USD

Overview
Today last price 9239.89
Today Daily Change -0.12
Today Daily Change % -0.00
Today daily open 9240.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 9499.22
Daily SMA50 9439.89
Daily SMA100 8303.47
Daily SMA200 8299.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 9337.17
Previous Daily Low 8988.56
Previous Weekly High 9589.87
Previous Weekly Low 8899.05
Previous Monthly High 10074.48
Previous Monthly Low 8105.58
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 9121.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 9204
Daily Pivot Point S1 9039.99
Daily Pivot Point S2 8839.97
Daily Pivot Point S3 8691.39
Daily Pivot Point R1 9388.6
Daily Pivot Point R2 9537.19
Daily Pivot Point R3 9737.21

 

 


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