|

Bitcoin price is positioned for a crash below $30,000

  • Bitcoin price is threatening new 2022 lows as it closes in on a nearly 10% daily loss.
  • A major bear trap could be developing if sellers fail to capitalize on crypto weakness.
  • Retail volume increasing at critical price levels.


Bitcoin price hammered lower with stocks and other risk-on markets. After a major rally yesterday, all of those gains have been eliminated. Bears may be attempting to push BTC to new 2022 lows.

Bitcoin price action may be on the road to a capitulation move below $30,000

Bitcoin price action on the weekly Ichimoku chart is positioned for the single most bearish setup since November 2018. Bitcoin is in a confirmed Ideal Ichimoku Bearish Breakout - a condition that warns of prolonged bearish price action. While these events have happened in the past, the current setup is slightly different.


One of the rarer but more powerful signals within the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system that a bear market is likely to be extended is when all conditions for an Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout exist, but with one additional requirement: The Chikou Span closes below the Ichimoku Cloud. 


When this occurs, the probability of a sustained sell-off and capitulation move is extremely high - the highest within the Ichimoku system. If bulls fail to keep Bitcoin price above $36,465, a capitulation move towards the $18,000 value area is likely. 

BTC/USD Weekly Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart


However, bulls shouldn’t lose hope. One peculiar and less known behavior within the Ichimoku system is that the Chikou Span reacts to the same support and resistance levels as the current close. The Chikou Span is sitting right on top of the strongest level of support/resistance, Senkou Span B. 


Bitcoin price and the entire cryptocurrency market may be prepping for one of the biggest bear traps in cryptocurrency history. 

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.

XRP pares losses, targets breakout above $1.50 as ETF demand diminishes

XRP pares losses as bulls target a short-term breakout above $1.50. The MACD upholds a buy signal while the MFI indicator rises above the midline, suggesting a potential bullish shift.

Ghost holding in BlackRock’s IBIT sparks Chinese Bitcoin investment whispers

A new entity identified in BlackRock's quarterly filing for its Bitcoin (BTC) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) IBIT has sparked rumors of Chinese investment under the name of Zhang Hui, despite the nationwide ban on the Crypto King. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound slightly as technicals signal bullish shift

The cryptocurrency market is showing signs of a gradual recovery, with Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) all edging higher at the time of writing on Wednesday after the price declines seen a day earlier. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.