- Bitcoin price is breaking above the falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish move.
- Michael Dell, Dell's founder and CEO, again tweets about Bitcoin.
- On-chain data shows miners' selling activity is decreasing, suggesting bullish momentum.
- BTC shows positive funding rates and increasing open interest.
Bitcoin (BTC) price is breaking above the falling wedge pattern on Monday and trades 1% up at the $63,400 level. On-chain data shows a decline in miners' selling activity, positive funding rates, and increasing open interest, suggesting potential price gains in the coming days.
Daily digest market movers: Bitcoin miners' selling pressure decreases
- According to CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin miners' selling activity has reduced compared to the previous week. The average daily rate was 8,592.14 BTC last week, contrasting sharply with the average daily rate of 1,849 BTC observed on Monday.
- Additionally, the volume of the OTC Desk used by miners for selling purposes was piling up as they could only recently find a buyer, but on June 29, the volume of the OTC Desk was all consumed. Someone has likely shown up to purchase the Bitcoin.
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Bitcoin Miner to Exchange chart
Bitcoin Total OTC Desk Balance chart
- Michael Dell, Dell's founder and CEO, sparked engagement on Saturday by initiating a Twitter poll where respondents chose between "AI," "Bitcoin," "love and relationships," and "none of the above" as the most important thing. With "Bitcoin" emerging as the preferred option, receiving 43.1% of the 64,035 votes, Dell's interaction underscores Bitcoin's ongoing societal intrigue. Amidst debates on AI, love, and innovation, the poll on X reveals Bitcoin's enduring allure among digital-age enthusiasts, especially within the crypto-centric community. Conducting a similar poll on a different platform would likely produce contrasting outcomes, reflecting varied user demographics and interests.
The most important thing
— Michael Dell (@MichaelDell) June 28, 2024
- According to CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin funding rates periodically compensate traders based on the variance between perpetual contract markets and spot prices. Positive rates signify a prevalence of long positions and a willingness to pay short traders. In contrast, negative rates indicate dominance by short positions with payments to long traders.
- As in the BTC case, the funding rates are positive and have risen from 0.0093 to 0.0098 in the last three days.
This 5.37% rise in Funding Rates indicates that long-position traders are dominant and are willing to pay funding to short traders.
Additionally, Coinglass BTC's long-to-short ratio data in the last 24 hours shows that 51.54% of positions were long compared to 48.46% of short positions.
Bitcoin Funding rates chart
Bitcoin Long to Short Ratio chart
- Data from CoinGlass shows that the future's open interest in Bitcoin at exchanges is increasing. The Open Interest indicates the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that have not been settled (offset by delivery) and whether money flows into the contract are increasing or decreasing.
- Increasing Open Interest represents new or additional money coming into the market and new buying happening, which is a bullish trend. When Open Interest decreases, it is usually a sign that the market is liquidating, more investors are leaving, and the current price trend is ending.
The graph shows that BTC's Open Interest increased from $30.97 billion on June 29 to 32.11 billion on Monday, indicating that new or additional money is entering the market and new buying is happening. A similar trend was seen in the bullish price movement from May 20 to May 21.
Bitcoin Open Interest chart
Technical analysis: BTC is breaking above the falling wedge
Bitcoin price is breaking above the falling wedge on Monday and is trading up by 1% at the $63,400 level.
If BTC's price closes above the $63,956 daily resistance level, it could rise 5% to retest its next weekly resistance at $67,147.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Awesome Oscillator in the daily chart are below their neutral levels of 50 and zero. If bulls are indeed returning, then both momentum indicators must regain their positions above their respective neutral levels.
If the bulls are aggressive and the overall crypto market outlook is positive, BTC could extend an additional rally of 6% to revisit its weekly resistance at $71,280.
BTC/USDT daily chart
However, if BTC closes below the $58,375 level and forms a lower low in the daily time frame, it could indicate that bearish sentiment persists. Such a development may trigger a 3% decline in Bitcoin's price, to revisit its low of $56,522 from May 1.
Cryptocurrency metrics FAQs
The developer or creator of each cryptocurrency decides on the total number of tokens that can be minted or issued. Only a certain number of these assets can be minted by mining, staking or other mechanisms. This is defined by the algorithm of the underlying blockchain technology. Since its inception, a total of 19,445,656 BTCs have been mined, which is the circulating supply of Bitcoin. On the other hand, circulating supply can also be decreased via actions such as burning tokens, or mistakenly sending assets to addresses of other incompatible blockchains.
Market capitalization is the result of multiplying the circulating supply of a certain asset by the asset’s current market value. For Bitcoin, the market capitalization at the beginning of August 2023 is above $570 billion, which is the result of the more than 19 million BTC in circulation multiplied by the Bitcoin price around $29,600.
Trading volume refers to the total number of tokens for a specific asset that has been transacted or exchanged between buyers and sellers within set trading hours, for example, 24 hours. It is used to gauge market sentiment, this metric combines all volumes on centralized exchanges and decentralized exchanges. Increasing trading volume often denotes the demand for a certain asset as more people are buying and selling the cryptocurrency.
Funding rates are a concept designed to encourage traders to take positions and ensure perpetual contract prices match spot markets. It defines a mechanism by exchanges to ensure that future prices and index prices periodic payments regularly converge. When the funding rate is positive, the price of the perpetual contract is higher than the mark price. This means traders who are bullish and have opened long positions pay traders who are in short positions. On the other hand, a negative funding rate means perpetual prices are below the mark price, and hence traders with short positions pay traders who have opened long positions.
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