• Bitcoin is trading over 1% lower today as senitment in the crptosphere is weak.
  • Elliott Wave theory suggests we could still be in the 3rd wave lower, which could mean more pain.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

So if you are not familiar with Elliott Wave the chart below can seem confusing. Here is a link that could help you understand what is going on (https://www.fxstreet.com/technical-analysis/elliott-wave)

Going back to the chart now, the price is still in a 5 wave low pattern but it is important to work out which wave the pair is currently in. The wave 1-2 is now set, this can often help you determine where wave 3 will end up as we can use Fib projection (blue). The Fib projection for waves 1-2 is telling us that the price has gone past the 261.8% projection so this could easily be wave 3 at the moment.

Wave 3 usually subdivides into smaller waves. This is also a 5 wave pattern lower following the rules of Fibonacci. I have marked these waves in red as it will be easier to follow. The wave pattern down in red might not be over. At the moment we are at the red 161.8 Fib extension. In theory, this can reach 261.8% so there could be another leg lower.

That is not to say there will not be some small retracements in the meantime. As you can see from the chart these Fib waves are pretty accurate and offered some great counter-trend trade opportunities. Having said that catching the waves in the direction of the prevailing trend is the best strategy.

Bitcoin Elliott Wave

Additional levels

BTC/USD

Overview
Today last price 7781.17
Today Daily Change -108.69
Today Daily Change % -1.38
Today daily open 7889.86
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 8933.78
Daily SMA50 9259.56
Daily SMA100 8420.77
Daily SMA200 8679.69
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 8155.61
Previous Daily Low 7735.73
Previous Weekly High 9180.49
Previous Weekly Low 8405.51
Previous Monthly High 10511.86
Previous Monthly Low 8431.17
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 7896.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 7995.22
Daily Pivot Point S1 7698.52
Daily Pivot Point S2 7507.18
Daily Pivot Point S3 7278.64
Daily Pivot Point R1 8118.4
Daily Pivot Point R2 8346.95
Daily Pivot Point R3 8538.29

 

 


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