|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD bulls trapped as $6,300 proves a hard nut to crack

  • BTC/USD recovery above $6,000 has improved the short-term technical picture.
  • A strong move above $6,300-$6,500 area is needed for the recovery to gain traction.

Bitcoin (BTC) is changing hands at $6,280, having gained nearly 2% on a day-to-day basis. Notably, the first digital asset has recovered from the intraday low registered at $5,854, but the further upside seems to be limited by $6,300 that served as an upside barrier for the best part of the previous week. 

Bitcoin's market capitalization has settled at $112.4 billion, which is 65.4% of the total digital assets market. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume is registered at $30.5 billion.

BTC/USD: On-chain statistics

Currently, over 43% of Bitcoin addresses are in the money, according to the statistics provided by Intotheblock. Over 1 million addresses with the aggregate value of 658K BTC have a break-even point in the range from $6,300 to $6,500, which means that this area may serve as a strong barrier for the recovery.  The market volatility stays close to the recent high reached at 135.5%, while the number of active addresses retreated to 583K from 893.9K on March 26.

BTC/USD: Technical picture 

BTC/USD has printed a Doji candle on a weekly chart, which means that the market is in the state of uncertainty. The recovery may be over for now, at least as long as the price stays below the psychological barrier of $7,000, strengthened by SMA100 weekly. A sustainable move above this line will improve the long-term picture and allow for a sustainable recovery towards $8,000-$8,200. This resistance area is created by a confluence of SMA50, SMA100 and SMA200 on the daily chart.

An upward-looking RSI on the daily chart implies that the recovery may gain traction.

On the downside, The critical support is created by psychological $6,000. If it is broken, the sell-off may be extended towards the recent low of $5,854. This area stopped the downside during early Asian hours on Monday. The next support is created by $5,600 (March 23 low) followed by psychological $5,000. 

BTC/USD 1-day chart

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.

Ripple eyes record high breakout in 2026 as Ripple scales infrastructure

XRP has traded under pressure, but short-term support keeps hopes of a sustainable recovery in 2026 alive. The launch of XRP ETFs and regulatory clarity in the US pave the way for institutional adoption.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monero builds momentum amid bullish bets and looming resistance

Monero (XMR) trades close to $430 at press time on Wednesday, after a 5% jump on the previous day. The privacy coin regains retail interest, evidenced by heightened Open Interest and long positions.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.