|

Bitcoin price analysis: A make or break situation for BTC/USD

  • Bitcoin could test the levels close to $3,500 and even refresh the 2019 low around $3,340.
  • Bitcoin bulls battling 23.6% Fib level resistance: technical levels remain positive.

Following Bitcoin rejection from above $4,000, Bitcoin has managed to stay above $3,800. The sharp declines saw Bitcoin test the support at $3,700 before reversing the trend upwards. However, the bullish momentum has stalled below $3,850. Lack of a catalyst to place Bitcoin in an upward trajectory will soon be detrimental to trend in the coming days.

Investors have a tendency to start selling when they realize that a breakout is either impossible or will delay. If they do, more supply will be created while demand will decrease significantly. Bitcoin could test the levels close to $3,500 and even refresh the 2019 low around $3,340.

To avoid the decline, Bitcoin price has only one option; to retrace above the 38.2% Fib retracement level with the last swing high of $4,189.30 and a low of $3,713.31 close to $3,900. Although $4,000 is within reach, the recent bull rally proved that $4,200 is an uphill task. However, if the bulls can stage another rally, there will be little to no hindrance for Bitcoin at this level and Bitcoin could scale the levels towards $5,000.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is trading at $3,818.60. It is battling with the 23.6% Fib level immediate resistance. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is heading upwards to show that the bulls are present and the path of least resistance is to the north.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart

Get 24/7 Crypto updates in our social media channels: Give us a follow at @FXSCrypto and our FXStreet Crypto Trading Telegram channel

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin holds above support at $65,118 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains choppy in a narrow range between support at $1,900 and resistance at $2,000, while Ripple attempts another upward move toward the pivotal $1.40 level.

PancakeSwap Price Analysis: Bearish momentum suggests further downside

PancakeSwap (CAKE) is trading below $1.26 at the time of writing on Friday, extending the losses by over 8% so far this week. The weakening derivatives market further supports the bearish outlook, with bears aiming for levels below $1.18.

Decred Price Forecast: DCR rebounds toward key resistance zone on volume spike

Decred (DCR) rebounds over 7% at press time on Friday after a three-day decline of almost 14%. Roughly 60% increase in trading volume over the last 24 hours supports the recovery, suggesting heightened spot-market demand. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.