|

Bitcoin price action from 2019 hints what could happen to BTC in 2023

  • Bitcoin price action over the last few weeks resembles the one seen in 2019.
  • If the history from 2019 repeats, BTC could be coiling up for a massive upswing.
  • Investors need to pay close attention to the $25,000 to $24,000 level, a retest of which could be a perfect place for accumulation. 

Today we’re going to be taking a quick look at Bitcoin price and how it plays a major role in directing where the markets go. A repeating price fractal hints that the recent retracement could be setting the stage for a massive bull run for cryptocurrencies.

Also read: Bitcoin Price Forecast: Can BTC bears manifest a 30% crash?

Bitcoin price action similarities between 2019 and 2023

The conclusion of hash rate wars in 2018 saw Bitcoin price crash from roughly $6,000 to $3,000. This sudden drop formed a local bottom for BTC, which was followed by 107 days of consolidation.

This consolidation ended on April 1, when Bitcoin price shot up and formed a bullish divergence on the daily chart. The setup was followed by a 173% upswing in the next two months, which pushed BTC to form a local top at $13,880.

In 2023, a similar setup has formed, indicating that the ongoing coiling up is likely to lead to a similar outlook. While a 173% upswing is unlikely, investors can expect Bitcoin price to push deeper into the weekly Bearish Breaker area, extending from $29,247 to $41,273. 

The likely targets are the midpoint of the said breaker at $35,260 and the range high at $41,273. 

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

For more information on Bearish Breaker setup, read this: Where will the 2023 crypto bull rally top? – ICT

As detailed above, this run-up has two potential scenarios on how it could play out:

  1. A continued uptrend to $35,260 and $41,273 levels.
  2. A retracement to two crucial levels at $25,205 and $24,303 followed by a run-up to the $35,260 and $41,273 levels. As seen, the second scenario will allow sidelined buyers an opportunity to accumulate BTC.

Important reads

Weekly recap: Whales drive ADA, AXS investors grow, memecoins and 420, Bitcoin dominance rate meets resistance

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC loses directional bias, leaving holders guessing its next move

Ethereum price pauses its plummet, here’s what ETH holders can expect next

XRP price reveals Ripple bulls big picture plans for holders and it includes 50% rally

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.