Bitcoin options traders predict massive surge in BTC price in the first half of 2023


  • Bitcoin options traders are bullish on a massive rally in BTC within the next six months. 
  • The bullish sentiment among traders is evident from the renewed premium in Bitcoin futures listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. 
  • The demand for bullish Bitcoin calls picked up with BTC topping the 200-day moving average for the first time since April 2022. 

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization witnessed a spike in demand for bullish calls tied to the asset. BTC price topped its 200-day moving average for the first time since April 2021 fueling a bullish narrative among options traders. 

The crypto ended the week on January 13 yielding 20% gains, the highest weekly percentage gain since February 2021. 

Also read: Bitcoin price wipes out losses from FTX exchange collapse, hits $21,095 after two months

Bitcoin options traders are bullish on BTC gains

Bitcoin price yielded 20% gains in the week between January 9 and 16. The bullish sentiment among options traders is evident from the renewed premium in BTC futures listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). 

The front-month contract expiring on January 28 hit a four-month high of $21,535, while Bitcoin price on spot exchanges hit $21,437. The bullish sentiment among options traders is consistent with the improvement in the macroeconomic outlook and risk revival in the traditional market. 4

Bitcoin’s bullish call options expiring in six months have become pricier than the bearish put options, based on data from crypto intelligence tracker Amberdata. The 180-day call-put skew is a metric that measures the price for calls relative to puts and is a good measure of consensus in the community for the next six months. 

Bitcoin Skew maturity

Bitcoin Skew constant maturity 

As seen in the chart above, both short-term and long-term call-put skews have turned positive for the first time since April 2021. Both institutions and retail investors use options to speculate and hedge against future shifts in the price of Bitcoin.

The flow of Bitcoin options gives an insight into the technical levels of support and resistance for market participants. The February purchases of $22,000/ $24,000 calls came in when Bitcoin exchanged hands at $19,000 on spot exchanges. 


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Celebrity meme coins controversy continues amid Pump.fun revenue dominance

Celebrity meme coins controversy continues amid Pump.fun revenue dominance

Pump.fun outperformed the Ethereum blockchain on Tuesday after raking in $1.99 million. Following this achievement, a meme coin based on actress Sydney Sweeney was the subject of controversy after its developers dumped their bags on investors.

More Meme Coins News

PEPE's on-chain metrics indicate potential rally after weeks of silence

PEPE's on-chain metrics indicate potential rally after weeks of silence

PEPE has struggled to see any significant price move after reaching an all-time high in May. Increased adoption rate and low MVRV ratio indicate a bullish run may be on the horizon. A single PEPE outflow from Binance worth $14.7 million gives credence to signs of bullish expectation.

More Pepe News

Ethereum has failed to overcome key resistance despite bullish sentiment surrounding ETH ETF

Ethereum has failed to overcome key resistance despite bullish sentiment surrounding ETH ETF

Ethereum (ETH) is down more than 1.4% on Tuesday following another ETH sale from the Ethereum Foundation. Meanwhile, crypto exchange Gemini's recent report reveals that ETH ETF could see about $5 billion in net inflows within six months of launch.

More Ethereum News

Crypto community blasts Polkadot following report of treasury spending

Crypto community blasts Polkadot following report of treasury spending

Polkadot reports $87 million of treasury spending during H1. Crypto community members expressed harsh feelings toward the DOT team's high spending. DOT is up more than 2% in the past 24 hours but risks correction following the report.

More Polkadot News

Bitcoin: BTC price correction could end in July, according to seasonal data

Bitcoin: BTC price correction could end in July, according to seasonal data

Bitcoin (BTC) price appears poised for a decline this week, influenced by slight outflows in US spot ETFs, selling activity among BTC miners, and a combined transfer of 4,690.28 BTC to centralized exchanges by the US and German governments.

Read full analysis

BTC

ETH

XRP