Tanya Abrosimova
Independent Analyst
- BTC/USD is back above $3,400, no further progress.
- Weekly SMA 200 is the crucial support in the long run.
Bitcoin sits marginally above $3,400 after an uneventful weekend trading. The first digital finished with losses the third consecutive week as the cryptocurrency market cannot gain bullish momentum. BTC/USD is mostly unchanged both on a day-over-day basis and since the beginning of Monday. Since the beginning of the year, the coin lost nearly 7% of its value.
Meanwhile, Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey believes that Bitcoin will eventually become a native currency of the Internet.
Speaking at “The Joe Rogan Experience” he stressed that the Internet would have its own money. Bitcoin has a chance to get this status, as it was born on the Internet, grew on the Internet and passed stress-tests.
Bitcoin’s technical picture
From the long-term perspective, BTC/USD is supported by weekly SMA200 at $3,325. This barrier stopped the carnage back in December and likely to serve as a substantial barrier this time around. However, if this support is broken, the downside momentum will gain traction with the next aim at the psychological $3,000.
On the upside, the first strong hurdle is created by DMA50 currently at $3,675. BTC/USD has not traded above DMA50 since January 19, and the bulls are likely to stop short of that level. Meanwhile, a sustainable move higher will increase bullish momentum and allow for the recovery towards $4,000 and $4,110 (January 8 high).
BTC/USD, the daily chart
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