BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Zigzag.

  • Position: Wave C.

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave ((II)).

  • Wave cancel invalid level: (not specified).

Bitcoin/U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD) Trading Strategy:

Although Bitcoin has shown a recovery over the past week, and some believe the upward trend may resume, Elliott Wave analysis still identifies the movement as corrective, within an a–b–c structure. We are approaching a downward move in wave c, which may result in a more significant drop than currently anticipated.
Wave (V) has concluded → The market is entering an A-B-C corrective pattern.
Wave b is developing into a Double Zigzag pattern (W)-(X)-(Y). The price is nearing the end of wave b and is about to start wave c.

Trading strategies

  • Strategy

    • For Short-Term Traders (Swing Trade):

      • Monitor for reversal signals around the $88K–91K zone.

      • On spotting a reversal or divergence → Initiate a short position.

      • Target Range: $68,000 → $62,000

    • Risk management:

      • If Bitcoin breaks above $112K clearly → This would invalidate the corrective structure and suggest a bullish scenario.

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Zigzag.

  • Position: Wave C.

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave ((II)).

  • Wave cancel invalid level: (not specified).

Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) trading strategy:

Despite recent upward price action in Bitcoin, Elliott Wave indicators suggest that the market remains in a corrective a–b–c structure. We are moving towards wave c, which could push the price downward beyond common expectations.
Wave (V) is complete → We are in an A-B-C corrective phase.
Wave b is shaping into a Double Zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y), with the price nearing the end of wave b and preparing for wave c.

Trading strategies

  • Strategy

    • For short-term traders (Swing Trade):

      • Look for reversal signs within the $88K–91K range.

      • Once a reversal or divergence is confirmed → Consider shorting.

      • Target Zone: $68,000 → $62,000

    • Risk management:

      • A definitive break above $112K would negate the corrective setup and indicate a bullish reversal.

TradingLounge Analyst: Kittiampon Somboonsod, CEWA.

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]


As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.

Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.

The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.

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