BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical overview

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Zigzag.

  • Position: Wave b.

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave ((II)).

  • Wave cancellation level: Not specified.

Details:

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is in a corrective Elliott Wave pattern. Wave A recently concluded, and price action appears to be entering Wave B — a short-term bounce — before continuing into Wave C.

Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) trading strategy

BTCUSD is showing a modest recovery after completing a strong wave (a). The Elliott Wave framework indicates the market is now entering wave (b), which typically precedes another drop. Traders should monitor the key resistance at $90,792 — a potential inflection point. The downtrend wave structure concluded with wave ((5)) near $76,703. Currently, price action suggests that sub-wave a of (b) is complete and wave b of (b) is underway.

  • Key resistance: $90,792.

  • If BTCUSD cannot surpass this level, expect a strong downward move in wave c of (b), potentially followed by wave (c).

Trading strategies

  • Strategy

    • For short-term traders (Swingtrade).

      • If price tests the $90,792 resistance and faces selling pressure, it may be a good opportunity to enter short positions in alignment with wave (c) direction.

  • Risk management:

    • If BTCUSD breaks above $111,954, the current downtrend scenario becomes invalid and requires reassessment.

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical overview

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Zigzag.

  • Position: Wave b.

  • Next higher degree direction: Wave ((II)).

  • Wave cancellation level: Not specified.

Details:

BTC/USD continues within a corrective Elliott Wave structure. After completing Wave A, the asset seems to be starting Wave B — a temporary rebound — ahead of a potential move into Wave C.

Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD) Trading Strategy

The market is recovering slightly from wave (a), and the Elliott Wave model suggests wave (b) is now unfolding. Watch the $90,792 resistance level closely, as it may dictate the next move. Wave ((5)) of the downtrend ended near $76,703. BTC is likely in wave b of (b), following the completion of sub-wave a.

  • Key resistance: $90,792.

  • Failure to break this level could trigger a drop in wave c of (b), followed by wave (c).

Trading strategies

  • Strategy

    • For short-term traders (Swing trade).

      • A test of $90,792 followed by bearish signals may present a shorting opportunity in line with wave (c) expectations.

  • Risk management:

    • A breakout above $111,954 invalidates the bearish wave structure and needs a new analysis.

TradingLounge Analyst: Kittiampon Somboonsod, CEWA

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical overview [Video]


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Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.

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