|

Bitcoin bull flag and fibonacci offers trading ideas

  • Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has tested and bounced upwards from the 21 ema support zone. We will review when the uptrend is expected to fully return.

  • The main question is whether BTC/USD has already completed its wave 4or not. This will determine whether Bitcoin could offer more bearish pullback or a bullish breakout

  • Price action needs to break below the 21 ema support zone to potentially start 5 bearish waves down. This could complete a wave C (grey) of wave 4 (pink)

This article will also analyse the key Fibonacci levels and potential discounts within the uptrend.

Chart

Price Charts and Technical Analysis

  • A bullish breakout above the resistance trend line (orange) followed by a bull flag chart pattern is increasing the odds of an immediate uptrend (green arrows).

  • A bearish bounce, however, could indicate an ABCDE triangle chart pattern (grey arrows) which is expected to break up (green arrows).

  • A bearish bounce could also create a larger retracement to the lower Fibonacci retracement levels like 50-618% Fibs. A bullish bounce is expected at this support (blue arrows).

The uptrend remains intact as long as price action remains above $20,000. A deeper push lower, however, would place the bulls under pressure (yellow and red circles).

On the 4 hour chart, price action needs to break below the 21 ema support zone to potentially start 5 bearish waves down (orange). This could complete a wave C (grey) of wave 4 (pink). The Fibonacci levels are expected to act as support (blue arrows). 

An immediate breakout could take place too (green arrows) above the bull flag chart pattern (orange and green lines). Although the Fibonacci resistance could spark a downside momentum as well (red arrow). 

Price patterns remain key after any breakout to confirm the breakout direction or indicate a false breakout.

The main target for the upside is currently around the $50,000 round level.

Bitcoin

The analysis has been done with the ecs.SWAT method and ebook.

Author

Chris Svorcik

Chris Svorcik

Elite CurrenSea

Experience Chris Svorcik has co-founded Elite CurrenSea in 2014 together with Nenad Kerkez, aka Tarantula FX. Chris is a technical analyst, wave analyst, trader, writer, educator, webinar speaker, and seminar speaker of the financial markets.

More from Chris Svorcik
Share:

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.

PI recovers from slump as investors buy the dip

Pi Network rebounds by 2% at press time on Tuesday, regaining strength after a three-day decline. A renewed interest among investors, evidenced by outflows from Centralized Exchanges, backs the short-term recovery.

Hedera extends losses as bearish sentiment dominates

Hedera price extends its losses after falling nearly 4% the previous day. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook alongside an unfavourable technical outlook, suggesting a deeper correction for HBAR.

Top Crypto Losers: BCH, HYPE, PUMP extend losses as Bitcoin drops below $64,000

Altcoins, including Bitcoin Cash, Hyperliquid, and Pump.fun, are leading losses over the last 24 hours as Bitcoin falls below $64,000 on Tuesday. The technical outlook for BCH, HYPE, and PUMP flags downside risk amid broader market selling.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.