|

Analysts believe Bitcoin price could bleed dropping lower than $40,000

  • Bitcoin price continues its downtrend as the asset tracks the 200-day simple moving average.
  • Proponents believe a tighter monetary policy and a benchmark US interest rate spike could increase headwinds for Bitcoin price.
  • Analysts have revealed a bearish outlook on Bitcoin, predicting a drop in BTC price. 

Bitcoin price plummeted from its Thursday high of $42,965 but analysts believe the Bitcoin price trend is showing signs of improved momentum. To conclude, BTC could resume its climb to $48,000 on one condition. 

Bitcoin price could resume uptrend if this condition is met

Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, said a rise in the benchmark US interest rate by 50 basis points “will be on the table” at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. 

Historically, tighter monetary policy measures have increased selling pressure on cryptocurrencies as investors pull out from speculative and highly volatile markets. Typically, Bitcoin price has dropped in response to tighter monetary policy measures, and the outlook on BTC is bearish. 

Bitcoin has continued its downtrend and stayed above the $40,000 level, tracking its 200-day SMA. Analysts, however, believe Bitcoin price could recover from the slump with increasing momentum. Bitcoin could resume its climb to $48,000 and target the $50,000 level. 

A three-day spike in Bitcoin price has pushed the price higher, bringing the 200-day SMA level at $48,000 into focus. Analysts have set a downside target of $38,550 for the Bitcoin price. 

@twocommapauper, a crypto analyst and trader, believes Bitcoin price is caught in no man’s land, and it has been ranging for nearly 48 weeks now. The analyst believes neither bulls nor bears are in control of the price. 

FXStreet analysts believe Bitcoin price could witness a trend reversal and face resistance at the $44,000 level, eventually expecting BTC to retest $46,000. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: No recovery in sight 

Bitcoin price continues to trade sideways between $65,729 and $71,746, extending its consolidation since February 7. US-spot ETFs record an outflow of $403.90 million through Thursday, pointing to the fifth consecutive week of withdrawals.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI recovery stalls amid profit-taking

Pi Network tests 50-day EMA support on Friday, after a 5% decline the previous day. PiScan data shows large deposits on CEXs totaling over 4 million PI tokens in the last 24 hours, reflecting an exodus of investors taking profits.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.