|

Yen carry trade meets GDP

S&P 500 didn‘t maintain Tuesday‘s high close, and neither did Nasdaq – both put in a series of failed premarket relief attempts with altogether three intraday upswings from Thursday‘s panic lows – yet these failed as well. When it was clear the last one was about to go the way of dodo bird, short positioning focused on S&P 500 and Russell 2000 was rewarded for the following hours (in intraday terms).

It‘s that I expect today‘s GDP and GDP price index to turn benign to the bulls, and to be supportive of "Fed should cut now to support the economy as inflation isn't biting nearly as badly as the economy is slowing down to crawl speed" (even 1.7% GDP growth is stall speed) – with all that brings to rate cutting odds, with of course some markets benefiting more than others.

And that‘s the subject of today‘s article – which.

Let‘s move right into the charts – today‘s full scale article contains 4 more of them, with commentaries.

Tired of seeing those red boxes instead of way more valuable information? Try the premium services based on what and how you trade.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Chart

It‘s not only about the percentage of stocks trading above 50-day moving averages in both indices, not about equal weighted S&P 500, but about new highs new lows and advance-decline line with volume all making lower highs on modestly up days or divergencies in a longer series. BoJ driven repricing is then a cherry on the cake.

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.