|

XAU/USD outlook: Extended pullback approaches key $2,813/00 support zone

XAU/USD

Gold remains in red for the fourth straight day and hit the lowest levels in three weeks on Friday.

The yellow metal is also on track for a weekly loss of 3% and the first bearish week after nine consecutive weeks of gains, while the monthly action of February was shaped in green Doji candle with long upper shadow which signals increased offers.

Gold was hit by stronger dollar, which took over primacy as major safe haven asset in fresh risk aversion on growing economic and geopolitical uncertainty, and was also underpinned by elevated US inflation.

Weekly close below former pivotal supports at $2900 / $2877 (psychological / Feb 14/17 higher base), and $2868 (Fibo 23.6% of $2582/$2956 rally) to validate negative signal as bears eye next significant supports at $2813/00 (Fibo 38.2% / round-figure level).

Stronger headwinds could be expected at this area, with consolidation to possibly precede fresh push lower, if negative fundamentals persist.

Alternative scenario, in which pullback will be contained at $2813/00 zone, to mark a healthy correction before larger bulls take over the control, is still in play, so watch the reaction at this area.

Res: 2868; 2885; 2900; 2914.

Sup: 2845; 2813; 2800; 2769.

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 2934.86
    2. R2 2910.03
    3. R1 2882.41
  1. PP 2857.58
    1. S1 2829.96
    2. S2 2805.13
    3. S3 2777.51

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.