|

Will the FOMC strengthen the Dollar again?

Important news for the day

  • Wed, 21st, 20:00 CET            US        FOMC Minutes.

Risk sentiment

Will the FOMC Minutes, which are being released today, surprise markets? The US- Dollar remains on the weak side as the Fed is expected to cut rates in September. However, technical indicators could offer further upside potential helping the Greenback to gear up steam again. On the fundamental front potential hawkish signs from the Minutes might cause the Dollar to regain some strength in the short term then. Open positions against the USD should hence be eyed cautiously before the news.

Market talk

Oil markets remain weak after stockpiles have increased. The slightly negative outlook on the economy also causes the demand to be weak. On the other hand equities rise and most indices are trading near their all- time highs. Bitcoin remains in a sideways pattern and in order to move higher the USD 60.000 level needs to be crossed. Precious metals are able to move higher as well. Further potential might be expected. Silver is showing some signs of a potential short- term retracement. In general the JPY currently remains on the weaker side. Should further comments in regards to future rate- cuts from the BoJ follow the Yen might resume its upside again.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities positive, USD weak (watch FOMC), cryptos positive, oil weak, metals positive, JPY weak.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.