|

Will Gold prices hit $3,000 an ounce this month? [Video]

The most highly anticipated week of the year and quite possibly the most pivotal moment in monetary policy history is finally here – as the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its first interest rate cut since March 2020. 

With a September rate cut guaranteed, the debate has now shifted to the size of the Fed's first rate cut when their two-day monetary policy meeting concludes on Wednesday. 

There is no denying, that the Federal Reserve faces a close call on whether to start its rate-cutting cycle with a traditional quarter-point reduction or to front-load rate cuts with a larger than expected half-point move. 

The stakes are definitely high and the Fed cannot risk getting this decision wrong, like they did back in 2021 with their misguided insistence on “transitory inflation” – as it could ultimately make or break the economy. 

In the lead-up to this week’s major market-moving decision – a long list of the world’s most powerful Wall Street banks have raised their bets on the Federal Reserve making an aggressive 50 basis point cut on Wednesday, with traders now putting the odds of a jumbo cut at about 64%. 

The significance of this cannot be understated – especially when considering it was only a week ago when traders were pricing in an 18% chance of a half-point cut. 

The potential for a larger-than-expected rate cut from the Fed sent Gold prices skyrocketing to a new all-time record high of $2,590 an ounce on Monday, surpassing the precious metals previous all-time high of $2,585 an ounce reached in the previous trading session on Friday. 

Gold has been on a parabolic run since last October – rallying from near the $1,800 level to score consecutive back-to-back all-time highs – not once, not twice, not three times, but on 33 separate occasions, so far this year. 

Yes, you read that correctly. That’s 33 all-time record highs, so far this year. 

And this could just the beginning! 

Gold's record-breaking run has been nothing short of impressive. Never before in history have we seen the precious metal score multiple all-time record highs in such a short space of time. 

According to GSC Commodity Intelligence – “Gold is not just making new highs in 2024, but it’s really breaking out. That's a classic tell-tale sign that we are just in the early stages of a “new historic Supercycle for Gold”. 

Whichever way you look at it, one thing is clear. The stars appear to be aligning for Gold and it won't take much for prices to reach $3,000 an ounce, if not exceed that mark – a lot sooner than anyone expects!

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.1900 post-US data

EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot around the 1.1900 region in a context dominated by the resurgence of some buying interest around the US Dollar on turnaround Tuesday. Looking at the US docket, Retail Sales disappointed expectations in December, while the ADP 4-Week Average came in at 6.5K.

GBP/USD comes under pressure near 1.3680

The better tone in the Greenback hurts the risk-linked complex on Tuesday, prompting GBP/USD to set aside two consecutive days of gains and trade slightly on the defensive below the 1.3700 mark. Investors, in the meantime, keep their attention on key UK data due later in the week.

Gold loses some traction, still above $5,000

Gold faces some selling pressure on Tuesday, surrendering part of its recent two-day advance although managing to keep the trade above the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The daily pullback in the precious metal comes in response to the modest rebound in the US Dollar, while declining US Treasury yields across the curve seem to limit the downside.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.