The most highly anticipated week of the year and quite possibly the most pivotal moment in monetary policy history is finally here – as the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its first interest rate cut since March 2020. 

With a September rate cut guaranteed, the debate has now shifted to the size of the Fed's first rate cut when their two-day monetary policy meeting concludes on Wednesday. 

There is no denying, that the Federal Reserve faces a close call on whether to start its rate-cutting cycle with a traditional quarter-point reduction or to front-load rate cuts with a larger than expected half-point move. 

The stakes are definitely high and the Fed cannot risk getting this decision wrong, like they did back in 2021 with their misguided insistence on “transitory inflation” – as it could ultimately make or break the economy. 

In the lead-up to this week’s major market-moving decision – a long list of the world’s most powerful Wall Street banks have raised their bets on the Federal Reserve making an aggressive 50 basis point cut on Wednesday, with traders now putting the odds of a jumbo cut at about 64%. 

The significance of this cannot be understated – especially when considering it was only a week ago when traders were pricing in an 18% chance of a half-point cut. 

The potential for a larger-than-expected rate cut from the Fed sent Gold prices skyrocketing to a new all-time record high of $2,590 an ounce on Monday, surpassing the precious metals previous all-time high of $2,585 an ounce reached in the previous trading session on Friday. 

Gold has been on a parabolic run since last October – rallying from near the $1,800 level to score consecutive back-to-back all-time highs – not once, not twice, not three times, but on 33 separate occasions, so far this year. 

Yes, you read that correctly. That’s 33 all-time record highs, so far this year. 

And this could just the beginning! 

Gold's record-breaking run has been nothing short of impressive. Never before in history have we seen the precious metal score multiple all-time record highs in such a short space of time. 

According to GSC Commodity Intelligence – “Gold is not just making new highs in 2024, but it’s really breaking out. That's a classic tell-tale sign that we are just in the early stages of a “new historic Supercycle for Gold”. 

Whichever way you look at it, one thing is clear. The stars appear to be aligning for Gold and it won't take much for prices to reach $3,000 an ounce, if not exceed that mark – a lot sooner than anyone expects!

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The value of your investments and income may go down as well as up. You should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. Ensure you fully understand the risks and seek independent advice if necessary.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.

GBP/USD News
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.

Gold News
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.

Read more
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures