Forex pairs & markets covered in this week’s Weekly Forex Forecast & Forex Analysis:
USD (DXY), EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY, CAD, AUD & NZD.
EURUSD, EURJPY, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, NZDCHF, NZDJPY, Crude Oil (WTI), CADJPY, AUDJPY, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, EURCHF, SPX (S&P 500), Russell 2000, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nifty, XAUUSD (Gold Analysis), XAGUSD (Silver Analysis), BTCUSD (Bitcoin Analysis) & more!
Weekly notes
Forex markets continue to be dictated by the recent surge in the DXY with commodity currencies continuing to be exposed to the downside due to DXY strength.
This week the New Zealand Dollar stands out as the best short opportunity with the Euro coming in second place as the second-best shorting opportunity this week.
On the strong side the DXY remains in good shape however may be due a short pullback first before further advances.
The Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen also show signs of strength coming into this week with the overall Forex complex pointing towards Deflation, as safe-haven currencies score well and commodity currencies score badly this week.
This points to the risk of further downside in Stocks this week as traders are set to continue to unwind some of their risk, even as fears subside over the new "Omicron" variant are likely to subside.
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds steady near 0.6250 ahead of RBA Minutes
The AUD/USD pair trades on a flat note around 0.6250 during the early Asian session on Monday. Traders brace for the Reserve Bank of Australia Minutes released on Monday for some insight into the interest rate outlook.
USD/JPY consolidates around 156.50 area; bullish bias remains
USD/JPY holds steady around the mid-156.00s at the start of a new week and for now, seems to have stalled a modest pullback from the 158.00 neighborhood, or over a five-month top touched on Friday. Doubts over when the BoJ could hike rates again and a positive risk tone undermine the safe-haven JPY.
Gold price bulls seem non-committed around $2,620 amid mixed cues
Gold price struggles to capitalize on last week's goodish bounce from a one-month low and oscillates in a range during the Asian session on Monday. Geopolitical risks and trade war fears support the safe-haven XAU/USD. Meanwhile, the Fed's hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the elevated US bond yields and a bullish USD, capping the non-yielding yellow metal.
Week ahead: No festive cheer for the markets after hawkish Fed
US and Japanese data in focus as markets wind down for Christmas. Gold and stocks bruised by Fed, but can the US dollar extend its gains? Risk of volatility amid thin trading and Treasury auctions.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
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