|

Weaker Dollar and positive risk sentiment – What's next?

Important News for the day

  • Tue, 18th, 13:30 CET CA Consumer prices index.

FT forecast

According to a forecast conducted by the Financial Times among a few dozen economists in regards to newly added tariffs and the downsizing of the government workforce the US economy will be affected further. Nearly all respondents stated that growth would be negatively impacted as consumer spending will be reduced. Furthermore the spending from companies will be scaled back and hence might cause a downturn. The expansion of the economy is hence expected to only reach 1.6% compared to the 2.3% previously. Currently equity markets are continuing their uptrend, which might continue, unless last week’s lows are broken.

Market talk

The weakness of the Dollar continues to support markets. Not only are precious metals rising further and with their breakout higher might remain positive for the week but also oil has been rising on top of the important support area. Today’s momentum might come during the American trading session. The consumer prices data from Canada might cause the Loonie to move and potentially rising prices could help supporting the CAD. The EURCAD might weaken and in particular the USDCAD, which had lost some steam, might move towards the 1.4160 zone.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities recovering, USD weak, cryptos weak, oil positive, Silver positive, Gold positive, JPY weak.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.