|

Vaneck Gold miners ETF: GDX Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Since the beginning of our US ETF sector on the 11th of March we have closely monitored GDX more than any other ETF because of the good opportunities the Wave Principle says it will offer. This blog is one of many forecasts made that dissect the ETF.

VanEck Gold Miners ETF – GDX (1D) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis 

Daily chart 

Function: Major trend  

Mode: Motive 

Structure: Impulse 

Position: Wave [i] navy 

Direction: Rally 

Details: 

  • Wave 3 is still in its early stages. We’ve only reached the 61.8% wave extension suggesting that there’s more room for the upside.  

  •  Subwave 1 of 3 is yet to be completed then then followed by a subwave 2 correction which shouldn’t take out the critical support at $38.59 

  • The wave 1 peak is expected to act as support to the subsequent decline which will be setting the stage for a further climb – wave [iii] of 3 to be specific. 

Invalidation level: $38.58

VanEck Gold Miners ETF – GDX (4H) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis 

Hourly chart 

Function: Major trend (Minor degree, grey). 

Mode: Motive 

Structure: Impulse 

Position: Wave (iv) orange  

Direction: Rally. 

Details: 

  • Wave (iv) of [i] is unfolding as a triangle. A tiny decline is expected to complete the triangle before we see the post triangle thrust. 

  • The 5th wave of [i] should take us towards $49.00 before wave [ii] begins. 

Invalidation level: $44.50

Conclusion  

The summary of the Elliott Wave analyses above is as follows: 

  • GDX continues to rally, and the uptrend is still young. 

  • The post triangle thrust will likely offer a good short-term buying opportunity. 

  • The $49.00 is the price of interest for wave [i] termination. 

  • Waiting for wave [ii] correction is a good opportunity to go long. 

  • Adherence to Elliott Wave rules and keeping track of invalidation levels is necessary for traders to prevent avoidable losses.

 Technical analyst: Siinom 

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds near 1.1900 ahead of US data

EUR/USD struggles to build on Monday's gains and fluctuates near 1.1900 on Tuesday. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.

GBP/USD declines toward 1.3650 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD stays on the back foot and declines to the 1.3650 region on Tuesday. The negative shift seen in risk mood helps the US Dollar (USD) gather strength and makes it difficult for the pair to find a foothold. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data. 

Gold stabilizes above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold enters a consolidation phase after posting strong gains on Monday but stays above the $5,000 psychological mark and the daily swing low. US Treasury bond yields continue to edge lower on news of Chinese regulators advising financial institutions to curb holdings of US Treasuries, helping XAU/USD hold its its ground.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.