Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
USD/JPY
USDJPY spiked to new multi-month high on Thursday, after Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged in today’s policy meeting, adding to positive signals for dollar from Fed’s hawkish rate cut on Wednesday.
Although BoJ’s decision did not surprise (markets widely expected unchanged rates at 0.15%) the central bank pointed to cautious approach to the monetary policy in the near future, in light of implications of policies of incoming Trump’s administration and also more careful asses the incoming economic data.
Dovish BoJ and persisting gap between monetary policies of two central banks added pressure on yen and created more favorable conditions for the US dollar.
Fresh bulls cracked former top at 156.74 (Nov 15), signaling an end of corrective phase and likely continuation of an uptrend from 139.57 (2024 low, posted on Sep 16).
Sustained break of 156.74 barrier is needed to confirm signal and open way for further gains, with 157.86 (July 16 high) to come in focus.
On the other hand, daily studies are overbought and warn that fresh bulls may take a breather after strong rally, but the dollar is expected to remain well supported, with limited dips seen as positioning for fresh push higher.
Res: 157.14; 158.00; 158.66; 159.00.
Sup: 155.88; 154.72; 154.43; 153.41.
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The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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