|

USD/JPY Forecast: At November’s high, heading toward 110.00

USD/JPY Current Price: 109.55

  • Better-than-expected US data hurt demand for safe-haven assets.
  • US indexes flirted with all-time highs ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.
  • USD/JPY trades at around 109.50, November monthly high.

The USD/JPY pair jumped to its November’s high, rallying in the US afternoon, following the release of solid US data indicating steady economic growth. Additionally, Wall Street remained in the green, and while indexes’ rallies were not too relevant, they flirted with all-time highs. Safe-haven assets remained out of the speculative radar, and even Treasury yields managed to post intraday gains.

Japan will release October Retail Trade during the upcoming Asian session, seen flat monthly basis and down by 4.4% when compared to a year earlier. Large Retailers’ Sales in the same month are expected to post a modest 1.2% advance after rising by 10% in the previous month.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair is trading just below 109.50, retaining its short-term bullish stance. Technical readings in the 4-hour chart support additional gains ahead, as the pair has moved well above all of its moving averages, while the 20 SMA accelerated above the larger ones. Technical indicators lack momentum but remain well into positive ground, with the RSI, in fact, consolidating in overbought territory. Pullbacks should be contained by buyers in the 109.10/20 price zone to support a test of the 110.00 figure in the upcoming sessions.

Support levels: 109.15 108.85 108.50  

Resistance levels: 109.85 110.05 110.40

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1900 in Tuesday's European trading hours, snapping the two-day winning streak. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.

GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3700 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD trades on a weaker note below 1.3700 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair faces challenges due to renewed US Dollar demand, UK political risks and rising expectations of a March Bank of England rate cut. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data. 

Gold sticks to modest losses above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the first half of the European session, though it holds comfortably above the $5,000 psychological mark and the daily swing low. The outcome of Japan's snap election on Sunday removes political uncertainty, which along with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood. This turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the safe-haven precious metal.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.