USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Navy blue wave 2.

  • Direction next lower degrees: Navy blue wave 3.

  • Details: Navy blue wave 1 appears complete, with navy blue wave 2 currently in progress.

  • Wave cancel invalid level: 161.893.

The USDJPY daily chart analysis, based on Elliott Wave theory, suggests the pair is in a counter-trend phase. This movement is identified as corrective, meaning it is a temporary reversal or consolidation within a broader trend. The primary structure being observed is navy blue wave 2, indicating the market is in the second wave of a larger corrective sequence.

The analysis highlights that navy blue wave 1 seems to have completed, and the pair is now forming navy blue wave 2. Typically, wave 2 involves a corrective move that retraces a portion of the previous impulsive wave, in this case, wave 1. The completion of wave 1 and the current formation of wave 2 suggest the market is in a consolidation or correction phase before potentially resuming the broader trend.

The direction for the next lower degrees suggests that after navy blue wave 2 completes, the market may proceed to develop navy blue wave 3. In Elliott Wave theory, wave 3 is typically the most powerful and extended wave in a trend, indicating that after the corrective wave 2 concludes, the market could see significant movement in the direction of the primary trend.

A crucial level to monitor is 161.893, identified as the wave cancel invalid level. If the price reaches or exceeds this level, it would invalidate the current Elliott Wave structure, suggesting a potential shift in market dynamics and possibly leading to the formation of a new wave pattern.

In summary, the USDJPY pair is currently in a corrective phase on the daily chart, forming navy blue wave 2 after the completion of navy blue wave 1. The key level to watch for potential invalidation of this wave structure is 161.893.

USD/JPY day chart

USDJPY

USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive as C.

  • Structure: Orange wave C.

  • Position: Navy blue wave 2.

  • Direction next lower degrees: Navy blue wave 3.

  • Details: Orange wave B of C appears complete, and orange wave C of 2 is currently in progress.

  • Wave cancel invalid level: 161.893.

The USDJPY 4-hour chart analysis, based on Elliott Wave theory, suggests that the pair is currently experiencing a counter-trend movement. This indicates that the price action is moving against the prevailing trend, likely as part of a corrective phase. The analysis identifies that the market is in an impulsive mode within orange wave C, which is part of a larger corrective structure.

The market's position is in navy blue wave 2, indicating that the pair is in the second wave of a larger cycle, typically where corrections occur. The analysis suggests that orange wave B of C has completed, and the market has now entered orange wave C of navy blue wave 2. This ongoing corrective phase implies that the price may continue to move within this structure before potentially resuming the broader trend.

The direction for the next lower degrees points to the development of navy blue wave 3 after the completion of the current wave C. This suggests that once the corrective phase concludes, the pair might resume its impulsive movement in line with the larger trend.

A critical level to watch is 161.893, identified as the wave cancel invalid level. This level is crucial because if the price reaches or exceeds it, the current Elliott Wave structure could be invalidated. This would indicate a potential shift in market dynamics, possibly leading to a different wave pattern or trend direction.

In summary, the USDJPY pair is currently in a counter-trend phase on the 4-hour chart, positioned in navy blue wave 2. The completion of orange wave B of C has led to the development of orange wave C, which is currently in play. The key level to monitor for potential invalidation of this wave structure is 161.893.

USDJPY

USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.

Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.

The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD tests fresh tops above 1.0870 on NFP

EUR/USD tests fresh tops above 1.0870 on NFP

The selling bias in the US Dollar gathers extra pace on Friday after the US economy created fewer jobs than initially estimated in February, sending EUR/USD to the area of new highs around 1.0870.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD hovers around recent highs above 1.2900

GBP/USD hovers around recent highs above 1.2900

The continuation of the downward trend in the Greenback encourages GBP/USD to maintain the trade just above the 1.2900 mark following the release of US NFP in February.

GBP/USD News
Gold remains bid above $2,900 after US Payrolls

Gold remains bid above $2,900 after US Payrolls

Gold prices manage to leave behind Thursday’s pullback and revisits the area of $2,920 per troy ounce in the wake of the publication of the US labour market report in February.

Gold News
White House Crypto Summit could boost adoption across financial markets: Binance exec Rachel Conlan

White House Crypto Summit could boost adoption across financial markets: Binance exec Rachel Conlan

US President Donald Trump signed an executive order for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve on Friday, shifting industry leaders’ focus from regulation to adoption. Within just over six weeks of his term, the President is set to host the first Crypto Summit, hosting industry giants and executives from the ecosystem. 

Read more
February CPI preview: The tariff winds start to blow

February CPI preview: The tariff winds start to blow

Consumer price inflation came out of the gate strong in 2025, but price growth looks to have cooled somewhat in February. We estimate headline CPI rose 0.25% and the core index advanced 0.27%. The moderation in the core index is likely to reflect some giveback in a handful of categories that soared in January.

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025