USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Day Chart.
U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Day Chart.
USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis
Function: Trend.
Mode: Impulsive.
Structure: Orange Wave 3.
Position: Navy Blue Wave 3.
Direction next higher degrees: Orange Wave 4.
Details: Orange wave 2 appears completed, now orange wave 3 is active.
Wave cancel invalid level: 152.009.
The USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis on the daily chart shows a pronounced trend, defined by an impulsive mode with orange wave 3 as the primary structure. This suggests the market is currently undergoing a significant upward movement within the Elliott Wave framework.
The market is positioned within navy blue wave 3, part of the broader orange wave 3. This indicates a strong and sustained upward trend is in progress. According to Elliott Wave theory, wave 3 is generally the most powerful and longest wave in an impulsive sequence, implying that the current trend is likely to continue with considerable momentum.
The direction for the next higher degrees points toward the upcoming orange wave 4. This indicates that after the completion of the current orange wave 3, the market may enter a corrective phase, leading into orange wave 4. For now, the focus remains on the continuation of the upward trend within orange wave 3.
The analysis notes that orange wave 2 has been completed. This marks the end of a corrective phase and the start of the next impulsive wave, orange wave 3. The transition from orange wave 2 to orange wave 3 is crucial, as it signals the beginning of a new, stronger phase in the market's upward movement.
The wave cancel invalid level is identified at 152.009. This level is critical for confirming the current wave structure. If the market falls below this level, it would invalidate the current analysis, suggesting the anticipated upward movement within orange wave 3 is not materializing as expected. In such a case, reevaluating the wave count and overall market direction would be necessary.
Summary:
The USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis on the daily chart indicates a strong upward trend within an impulsive wave structure. The market is currently advancing in navy blue wave 3 within orange wave 3, following the completion of orange wave 2. The wave cancel invalid level at 152.009 is key to maintaining this bullish outlook.
U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 4 Hour Chart.
USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis
Function: Trend.
Mode: Impulsive.
Structure: Gray Wave 5.
Position: Orange Wave 3.
Direction next higher degrees: Orange Wave 4.
Details: Gray wave 4 appears completed; now gray wave 5 is active.
Wave cancel invalid level: 152.009.
The USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis on the 4-hour chart indicates a strong trend characterized by an impulsive mode. The primary wave structure under analysis is gray wave 5, suggesting the market is in the final stage of a larger upward movement within the Elliott Wave framework.
Currently, the market is positioned within orange wave 3. This placement emphasizes that the market is advancing in the third wave of the larger gray wave 5, which is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulsive structure. The direction for the next higher degrees points toward the upcoming orange wave 4, indicating that after the completion of the current wave, a corrective phase may begin.
The analysis details that gray wave 4 seems to have been completed. This marks the end of a corrective phase within the ongoing upward trend and sets the stage for the development of gray wave 5. The progression into gray wave 5 is significant as it represents the final push of the current trend, with the market expected to maintain its upward momentum until this wave concludes.
The wave cancel invalid level is identified at 152.009. This level is crucial for confirming the current wave structure. If the market drops below this level, it would invalidate the present analysis, suggesting that the anticipated upward movement within gray wave 5 is not unfolding as expected. In such a case, a reassessment of the wave count and overall market direction would be necessary.
Summary:
The USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis on the 4-hour chart indicates a continued upward trend within an impulsive wave structure. The market is currently advancing in orange wave 3 within gray wave 5, following the completion of gray wave 4. The wave cancel invalid level at 152.009 is key to maintaining the validity of this bullish outlook.
Technical analyst: Malik Awais.
USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]
As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.
Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.
The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks

Gold trades near record-high, stays within a touching distance of $3,100
Gold clings to daily gains and trades near the record-high it set above $3,080 earlier in the day. Although the data from the US showed that core PCE inflation rose at a stronger pace than expected in February, it failed to boost the USD.

EUR/USD turns positive above 1.0800
The loss of momentum in the US Dollar allows some recovery in the risk-associated universe on Friday, encouraging EUR/USD to regain the 1.0800 barrier and beyond, or daily tops.

GBP/USD picks up pace and retests 1.2960
GBP/USD now capitalises on the Greenback's knee-jerk and advances to the area of daily peaks in the 1.2960-1.2970 band, helped at the same time by auspicious results from UK Retail Sales.

Donald Trump’s tariff policies set to increase market uncertainty and risk-off sentiment
US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are expected to escalate market uncertainty and risk-off sentiment, with the Kobeissi Letter’s post on X this week cautioning that while markets may view the April 2 tariffs as the "end of uncertainty," it anticipates increased volatility.

US: Trump's 'Liberation day' – What to expect?
Trump has so far enacted tariff changes that have lifted the trade-weighted average tariff rate on all US imports by around 5.5-6.0%-points. While re-rerouting of trade will decrease the effectiveness of tariffs over time, the current level is already close to the highest since the second world war.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.