|

USD/CHF zigzag corrective rally expected to fail [Video]

The USD/CHF currency pair has been trending downward since its high on January 13, 2026. The pair follows a pattern known as a 5-wave impulse in Elliott Wave analysis. This pattern helps traders predict price movements by breaking them into distinct waves. Starting from the peak, the first wave (wave 1) saw the pair drop to 0.8965. After this decline, a brief recovery, or wave 2, pushed the price back up to 0.9196. From there, the pair resumed its downward trajectory in wave 3, which unfolded in several stages.

In wave 3, the price first fell to 0.8356, marking the end of an internal sub-wave (wave ((i))). A small bounce to 0.8583 completed wave ((ii)). The decline continued, with wave ((iii)) reaching 0.8096, followed by a slight rally to 0.8203 for wave ((iv)). The final leg of wave 3, wave ((v)), bottomed out at 0.803, wrapping up the third wave.

Currently, USD/CHF is in an upward correction in wave 4, which is taking the shape of a zigzag pattern. From the low at 0.803, the pair climbed to 0.8124 in wave (i). Pair dipped to 0.8066 in wave (ii) then rose again to 0.8286 in wave (iii). A pullback to 0.8194 marked wave (iv), and the final push to 0.8311 completed wave ((a)), the first part of wave 4. Right now, the pair is experiencing a short-term pullback, called wave ((b)), correcting the rise that began on April 21, 2025. As long as the key support level at 0.8036 remains intact, USD/CHF is expected to resume its upward movement soon, potentially reaching higher levels before the next major trend develops.

USD/CHF 60 minute Elliott Wave chart

USD/CHF Elliott Wave [Video]

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 due to cautious trade before FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD holds ground after four days of little losses, trading around 1.1770 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady as US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee December Meeting Minutes due later in the day, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rises on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October.  Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Solana risks correction within descending wedge as bearish bets rise

Solana hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).