Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
US Dollar Index
The dollar was sharply down across the board on Thursday, smashed by the latest large package of import tariffs that President Trump announced on Wednesday.
The dollar index fell to a six-month low following strong acceleration lower, in which the currency lost nearly 2% of its value, in the biggest daily fall in years.
Although the reaction was atypical as risk aversion should be likely scenario in such circumstances and inflate the greenback, fresh weakness helped in boosting the effect of tariffs for the US and make life much more complicated to US trading partners.
Technical picture has weakened further on daily chart (MA’s are in full bearish setup, 14-d momentum remains in a steep decline deeper into negative territory and the latest drop cracked the support line of bear channel) signaled continuation of larger downtrend, with loss of last significant support at 102.24 (Fibo 76.4% of 99.84/110.00 rally) opening way towards targets at 100.00 (psychological) and 99.84 (2024 low of Sep 27).
Partial profit taking should be anticipated after heavy losses, but strong negative sentiment is expected to keep dollar under increased pressure and limit upticks.
Broken Fibo level reverted to resistance (102.24) which should ideally cap and keep broader bears fully in play.
Res: 101.79; 102.24; 102.82; 103.07.
Sup: 100.94; 100.40; 100.00; 99.84.
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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