It's definitely the time to bring out the clowns as MSM and much of the blogosfear are obsessed by the US debt ceiling smoke and mirrors circus that is being used as an excuse to explain potential market outcomes from a CRASH upwards, there is always a crash coming! And if the market soars then no problem it will soar because of debt ceiling positive developments, Whether UP or Down it will all be as a consequence of the DEBT CEILING! I have watched this circus take place every couple of years over the decades, it IS just a circus act for the Republicans and Democrats to prance around in front of the media, a smoke and mirrors TV show to remind the masses that they have all of the power and so if the chose to nuke the US economy.
Republican or Democrat, Trump or Biden makes very little actual difference, the US and all western nations are effectively one party states.
These are the facts
-
The US has never defaulted on it's debt.
-
Congress has already authorised the governments budget.
-
The circus tends to get resolved at the last minute with both sides claiming victory.
-
The inexorable mega-trend is for the US to continue PRINTING MONEY (Debt) to the MOON! Hence a primary driver of the Inflation Mega-trend and stock prices as the Dollar continuously loses value in response to rampant money printing.
Hang on a minute isn't the US debt limit supposed to be $31 trillion? So how come it's being reported as $31.4 trillion? Debt glass ceiling! Which illustrates that it really is just a circus for the politicians to gloat over and the MSM to obsess over, it's just a circus show folks. This is as deep as I want to go into the debt ceiling circus, it will be raised as it has some 100 times before hand!
On a side note the herd (MSM such as CNBC cartoon network) continues to obsess over short-term bonds (t-bills), the mantra goes why invest in risky stocks when one can collect 5.25% per annum in a T-Bill, to be blunt these fools are leading investors into a DEAD END. What happens when the bill matures? Say after 6 months You get your money back plus 2.625%, remember the rate the herd yap on about is the ANNUALISED rate. So now it's 6 months later and the 6 month T-Bill rate on offer is 4%? What now? Another 6 months? Rinse and repeat until it drops to 2% in 2 years time? You ve just wasted 2 years of a stocks bull market and end up with peanuts, even Long Treasury Bonds would have worked out a lot better due to capital appreciation as market interest rates fall bond prices go up - LESSON - Ignore what the herd proclaims one should do as it usually turns out to be WRONG..
AI will first kill us then save us
Humanity dancing to extinction as AI mega-trend goes parabolic
Musk says halt work on Large Language models, primarily so he can play and catch up to the runaway train sparked by the GPT Large Language Models that this video acts to chart where we are heading along on a Machine Intelligence curve that is now going parabolic as illustrated by the fact that even those who have been part of this trend for over a decade can no longer keep pace with the rate of change so what hope do ordinary folks have hence this video will act to shine a light much as my 2016 video did that laid the grounds for the Quantum AI Mega-trend so see this video as Part 2 of a 7 year arc.
The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Comments within the text should not be construed as specific recommendations to buy or sell securities. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our forecasts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD ticks lower toward 0.6200 after Australian Nov inflation data
AUD/USD remains pressured toward 0.6200 following the release of Australian consumer inflation figures, which showed a slowing in the trimmed mean annual CPI , boosting the odds for an April RBA rate cut. Meanwhile, US-China trade war fears and a softer risk tone add to the weight on the pair.
USD/JPY steadies at around 158.00, Fed Minutes awaited
USD/JPY holds steady at atound the 158.00 mark early Wednesday amid uncertainty over further BoJ rate hikes. Further, the Fed's hawkish shift, the recent surge in the US bond yields and a bullish US Dollar support the currency pair, though Trump trade risks cap gains. US ADP data and Fed Minutes eyed.
Gold price consolidates around $2,650 area as traders await FOMC Minutes
Gold price struggles to attract buyers amid the Fed’s hawkish stance and elevated US bond yields. Trade war fears and geopolitical risks lend support to the XAU/USD amid a modest USD downtick. Investors look to the US macro data and FOMC meeting Minutes for some meaningful impetus.
Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Over $560 million in liquidation
Bitcoin hovers around $97,000 on Wednesday after declining more than 5% the previous day. Ethereum and Ripple follow in BTC’s footsteps and decline 8.3% and 6.15% respectively.
Five fundamentals for the week: Nonfarm Payrolls to keep traders on edge in first full week of 2025 Premium
Did the US economy enjoy a strong finish to 2024? That is the question in the first full week of trading in 2025. The all-important NFP stand out, but a look at the Federal Reserve and the Chinese economy is also of interest.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.